TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611411––––
Jachym Zacharda
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Brozek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Jachym Zacharda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Michal Brozek at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 2–3 Jachym Zacharda Michal Brozek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:23What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1679 vs Zacharda 1707
Zacharda
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 20% vs Zacharda 40%
Zacharda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 30% vs Zacharda 60%
Zacharda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Zacharda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zacharda form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.80 / Zacharda 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13164452
Brozek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 145 of 251
Up 2–0, closes it85% 80 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it77% 111 of 145
Zacharda1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 25 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back11% 5 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeBrozek2wins
AwayZacharda3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderZacharda leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek66.7%2 of 3
AwayZachardan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek3Zacharda2n = 5Brozek took 3 of 5
S2Brozek4Zacharda1n = 5Brozek took 4 of 5
S3Brozek3Zacharda2n = 5Brozek took 3 of 5
S4Brozek2Zacharda2n = 4split evenly
S5Brozek0Zacharda3n = 3Zacharda took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricBrozekZachardaB − ZBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match41.437.2+4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekZachardaBasisWin rate · lifetime526 / 1011 vs 130 / 27352%47.6%526 / 1011 vs 130 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.80/Zacharda 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zacharda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 24 · 06:55M. Brozek4031111782J. Zacharda41115311113
WAug 8 · 10:06M. Brozek341111123J. Zacharda2165100
LAug 8 · 06:55M. Brozek47111177112J. Zacharda49771111133
LApr 5 · 19:55M. Brozek4371171172J. Zacharda42115114113
WApr 4 · 19:25M. Brozek43111011113J. Zacharda33512881
M. Brozek10
LSep 20 · 22:10M. Brozek2.50911771D. Bochnak1.5011411113LSep 20 · 19:55M. Brozek4.003590M. Cerny1.221111113WSep 20 · 18:55M. Brozek2.75116117113D. Bochnak1.4091121172LSep 19 · 14:10J. Kocab1.451114113M. Brozek2.5551290LSep 19 · 12:55M. Brozek2.63115911102D. Bochnak1.44711113123LSep 19 · 11:55M. Brozek2.2510590J. Kocab1.571211113LSep 19 · 10:55M. Brozek3.758530M. Cerny1.251111113WSep 15 · 09:58M. Brozek1.44116117113A. Rek2.6381191122WSep 15 · 08:55A. Rek2.504990M. Brozek1.501111113LSep 15 · 08:25J. Kocab1.7311911113M. Brozek2.00911491
J. Zacharda10
WSep 20 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.4481111982J. Zacharda2.63118511113LSep 20 · 19:25J. Zacharda2.388490M. Cerny1.531111113LSep 17 · 18:35D. Bochnak1.44111179113J. Zacharda2.6397111182WSep 17 · 16:55O. Kadavy1.61612100J. Zacharda2.201114123WSep 17 · 16:25M. Cerny1.53119731J. Zacharda2.3891111113LSep 17 · 15:25J. Zacharda2.63671251D. Bochnak1.44111110113WSep 17 · 14:00M. Cerny1.53111110692J. Zacharda2.38921211113LSep 17 · 12:50J. Zacharda2.50851281M. Cerny1.50111110113WSep 17 · 11:20P. Benes2.0041050J. Zacharda1.731112113WSep 17 · 10:50J. Kocab1.83311681J. Zacharda1.8311311113
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