TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
David Bochnak vs Lukas Soucek 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
David Bochnak
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
114811911811––
Lukas Soucek
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingDavid Bochnak above · Lukas Soucek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11
73 points played in total.
H2H David Bochnak 1–0 Lukas Soucek Lukas Soucek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Bochnak beat Soucek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Bochnak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soucek form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBochnak 1.36 / Soucek 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Bochnak)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13185298
Bochnak1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 131 of 216
Up 2–0, closes it93% 66 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 100 of 125
Soucek3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 6 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBochnak1wins
AwaySoucek0wins
Bochnak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBochnakSoucekB − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match38.030.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBochnakSoucekBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 581 vs 78 / 17261.5%45.4%357 / 581 vs 78 / 172Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BochnakBochnak 1.36/Soucek 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Bochnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Soucek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 23 · 15:25D. Bochnak3851111113L. Soucek30118291
D. Bochnak10
LSep 23 · 16:55D. Vesecky2.3891211113D. Bochnak1.531110391WSep 23 · 16:25M. Cerny1.9111951182D. Bochnak1.80711118113WSep 23 · 15:25D. Bochnak1.5351111113L. Soucek2.38118291WSep 20 · 22:10M. Brozek2.50911771D. Bochnak1.5011411113LSep 20 · 21:25M. Cerny1.9191112173D. Bochnak1.8011510151LSep 20 · 20:25D. Bochnak1.4481111982J. Zacharda2.63118511113LSep 20 · 18:55M. Brozek2.75116117113D. Bochnak1.4091121172LSep 19 · 14:39D. Bochnak1.5891190M. Cerny2.101113113WSep 19 · 12:55M. Brozek2.63115911102D. Bochnak1.44711113123LSep 19 · 12:25M. Cerny2.1011119123D. Bochnak1.678911101
L. Soucek10
LSep 23 · 17:25L. Soucek2.20411491M. Cerny1.6111811113LSep 23 · 15:55D. Vesecky1.7311112113L. Soucek2.00281181LSep 23 · 15:25D. Bochnak1.5351111113L. Soucek2.38118291LSep 15 · 18:25O. Kadavy1.531117113L. Soucek2.3841590WSep 15 · 16:55L. Soucek2.20119811123O. Kadavy1.61511119102WSep 15 · 15:55L. Soucek1.911114113T. Flicek1.8041280LSep 15 · 14:55L. Soucek2.201111881F. Strejc1.6191311113WSep 13 · 10:29T. Vorisek1.531251191L. Soucek2.3814115113LSep 13 · 08:55T. Vorisek1.5711117113L. Soucek2.25541171WSep 13 · 08:25F. Strejc1.61671131L. Soucek2.2011117113
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