David Bochnak vs Martin Cerny 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13159983

Played Sep 19Finished

David Bochnak

Home

1.58

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

9111113911––––

Martin Cerny

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

How it is goingDavid Bochnak above · Martin Cerny below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 9-10

Point 63 set 3, 9-10

63 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H David Bochnak 66–62 Martin Cerny Martin Cerny has won 62 of their 128 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8SplitHead to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Cerny beat Bochnak 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Bochnak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Cerny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBochnak 1.58 / Cerny 2.10

Signal prob.57% / 43%

Edge (Bochnak)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13159983

Bochnak1.58

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite62% won 128 of 208

Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70

Up 1–0, closes it80% 98 of 122

Cerny2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog42% won 47 of 112

Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBochnak2wins

AwayCerny8wins

5 of 10 to a deciderCerny leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBochnakn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayCerny75%6 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Bochnak2Cerny8n = 10Cerny took 8 of 10

S2Bochnak5Cerny5n = 10split evenly

S3Bochnak4Cerny6n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10

S4Bochnak2Cerny6n = 8Cerny took 6 of 8

S5Bochnak2Cerny3n = 5Cerny took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricBochnakCernyB − CBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.242.4−5.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBochnakCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 586 vs 486 / 84262%57.7%363 / 586 vs 486 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Bochnak

Bochnak 1.58/Cerny 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

57.1%

Bochnak · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Cerny won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 19 · 12:25D. Bochnak388911101M. Cerny4311119123

LSep 17 · 17:25D. Bochnak37911981M. Cerny4111811113

LSep 14 · 19:55D. Bochnak49111212592M. Cerny548101411113

LSep 13 · 19:25D. Bochnak325122131M. Cerny47111011153

WSep 13 · 10:00D. Bochnak42341111133M. Cerny36111130112

LSep 13 · 08:50D. Bochnak4161111672M. Cerny45114811113

LSep 6 · 09:25D. Bochnak199640M. Cerny331111113

LSep 4 · 19:55D. Bochnak4911991282M. Cerny485111110113

WSep 3 · 18:55D. Bochnak451011112113M. Cerny4412761182

LAug 30 · 10:33D. Bochnak203890M. Cerny331111113

D. Bochnak10

WSep 19 · 12:55M. Brozek2.63115911102D. Bochnak1.44711113123 LSep 19 · 12:25M. Cerny2.1011119123D. Bochnak1.678911101 WSep 19 · 11:25D. Bochnak1.301111113J. Kocab3.401360 WSep 17 · 18:35D. Bochnak1.44111179113J. Zacharda2.6397111182 LSep 17 · 17:25D. Bochnak1.67911981M. Cerny2.1011811113 WSep 17 · 15:55O. Kadavy1.619370D. Bochnak2.201111113 WSep 17 · 15:25J. Zacharda2.63671251D. Bochnak1.44111110113 LSep 14 · 22:45D. Bochnak1.36511941J. Zacharda2.8011811113 WSep 14 · 20:55D. Bochnak1.36111115113J. Zacharda3.00781781 LSep 14 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.67111212592M. Cerny2.108101411113

M. Cerny10

LSep 19 · 13:25J. Kocab3.001011911113M. Cerny1.3612911382 WSep 19 · 12:25M. Cerny2.1011119123D. Bochnak1.678911101 WSep 19 · 10:55M. Brozek3.758530M. Cerny1.251111113 LSep 17 · 18:05O. Kadavy1.331113113M. Cerny3.2551170 WSep 17 · 17:25D. Bochnak1.67911981M. Cerny2.1011811113 LSep 17 · 16:25M. Cerny1.53119731J. Zacharda2.3891111113 LSep 17 · 14:55O. Kadavy1.441111113M. Cerny2.633420 LSep 17 · 14:00M. Cerny1.53111110692J. Zacharda2.38921211113 WSep 17 · 12:50J. Zacharda2.50851281M. Cerny1.50111110113 WSep 14 · 19:55D. Bochnak1.67111212592M. Cerny2.108101411113

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