TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vit Benak vs Ondrej Kadavy 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1196111111412––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:15 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeVit Benak to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVit Benak above · Ondrej Kadavy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 75 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Vit Benak at 54.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vit Benak 13–10 Ondrej Kadavy Ondrej Kadavy has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:15What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Benak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-10 in 23
Benak
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Benak 1647 vs Kadavy 1737
Kadavy
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benak 40% vs Kadavy 80%
Kadavy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benak 40% vs Kadavy 70%
Kadavy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benak -1 · Kadavy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kadavy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenak 1.80 / Kadavy 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Benak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13203865
Benak1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 16 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it52% 12 of 23
Kadavy1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 34 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenak5wins
AwayKadavy5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenak75%3 of 4
AwayKadavy66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benak4Kadavy6n = 10Kadavy took 6 of 10
S2Benak5Kadavy5n = 10split evenly
S3Benak6Kadavy4n = 10Benak took 6 of 10
S4Benak2Kadavy5n = 7Kadavy took 5 of 7
S5Benak2Kadavy1n = 3Benak took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenakKadavyB − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.837.7−0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenakKadavyBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 141 vs 188 / 32455.3%58%78 / 141 vs 188 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenakBenak 1.80/Kadavy 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Benak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Benak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 14:55V. Benak3811511113O. Kadavy32911661
WJul 26 · 11:55V. Benak331111113O. Kadavy238690
LJul 25 · 18:05V. Benak368111161O. Kadavy3711213113
LJul 25 · 14:55V. Benak207490O. Kadavy331111113
LJul 6 · 07:25V. Benak4111117572O. Kadavy50891111113
WNov 7 · 17:55V. Benak4011511133O. Kadavy346116111
WAug 1 · 11:55V. Benak49711137113O. Kadavy44117111142
WJul 30 · 11:25V. Benak50615117113O. Kadavy43111351132
LJul 25 · 08:55V. Benak4513121191O. Kadavy4815148113
LJul 24 · 18:05V. Benak163760O. Kadavy331111113
V. Benak10
LSep 27 · 13:25F. Strejc2.10911116123V. Benak1.67119711102LSep 27 · 10:55M. Cerny2.00711119113V. Benak1.7311881172WSep 7 · 17:53V. Benak1.83961211133T. Flicek1.831111105112WSep 7 · 16:55V. Benak1.80111411123T. Flicek1.917165101LSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113LSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LAug 6 · 18:35D. Jicha1.3851511113V. Benak2.801113561WAug 6 · 17:25F. Strejc2.10681561V. Benak1.67111113113LAug 6 · 16:25V. Benak1.738660D. Jicha2.001111113WAug 6 · 14:55T. Vorisek1.80911911102V. Benak1.91119114123
O. Kadavy10
LSep 27 · 12:55M. Cerny3.0011811113O. Kadavy1.36811841WSep 27 · 11:25O. Kadavy1.91115411123F. Strejc1.80711117102WSep 25 · 10:29O. Kadavy1.36158911113M. Cerny3.00131111502LSep 25 · 09:25D. Vesecky2.0011911113O. Kadavy1.73811491WSep 25 · 08:25O. Kadavy1.3311127113M. Cerny3.256101181WSep 25 · 06:55J. Kocab2.638420O. Kadavy1.441111113LSep 24 · 18:08O. Kadavy1.6186111192D. Bochnak2.20111133113WSep 24 · 17:25T. Flicek1.8311116132O. Kadavy1.83681111113WSep 24 · 16:25O. Kadavy1.6111911113D. Bochnak2.20811591LSep 24 · 14:55M. Cerny3.5011911123O. Kadavy1.285115101
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