TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Michal Snizek vs Petr Fiser 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1513117118––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Snizek to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Snizek above · Petr Fiser below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 65 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Michal Snizek at 56.2%
65 points played in total.
H2H Michal Snizek 3–2 Petr Fiser Petr Fiser has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Snizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snizek 1405 vs Fiser 1373
Snizek
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snizek 80% vs Fiser 60%
Snizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snizek 70% vs Fiser 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snizek +4 · Fiser +2
Snizek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Snizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiser form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnizek 1.67 / Fiser 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Snizek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13203252
Snizek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite54% won 37 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 25 of 36
Fiser2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 18 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSnizek3wins
AwayFiser2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSnizek leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnizekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFiser50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snizek1Fiser4n = 5Fiser took 4 of 5
S2Snizek3Fiser2n = 5Snizek took 3 of 5
S3Snizek1Fiser3n = 4Fiser took 3 of 4
S4Snizek3Fiser0n = 3Snizek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricSnizekFiserS − FBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match38.234.5+3.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnizekFiserBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 340 vs 70 / 16253.5%43.2%182 / 340 vs 70 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekSnizek 1.67/Fiser 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Snizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 12 · 10:15M. Snizek4211119113P. Fiser29391161
WFeb 19 · 12:00M. Snizek545111512113P. Fiser50117171052
WJan 31 · 18:09M. Snizek4291111113P. Fiser26116451
LJan 21 · 16:45M. Snizek156630P. Fiser331111113
M. Snizek10
WSep 27 · 10:30M. Snizek1.731111113M. Holub2.007990WSep 27 · 09:30M. Snizek1.671181111113J. Jnr2.1051141382WSep 24 · 09:04J. Puk1.28119111272M. Snizek3.501311810113WSep 24 · 07:30M. Snizek2.10111168133V. Kral1.67951111112LSep 24 · 06:30M. Snizek3.50911861J. Puk1.2811711113WSep 24 · 05:30M. Snizek1.5011511113P. Moulis2.50211161WSep 13 · 15:30M. Snizek1.9111117103M. Holub1.80781171LSep 13 · 14:30M. Snizek1.61116101162L. Krutina2.20811125103LSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 11 · 08:49P. Moulis2.2561231192M. Snizek1.571110119113
P. Fiser10
WSep 27 · 11:00P. Fiser2.501111113J. Jnr1.504880WSep 27 · 10:00P. Fiser1.507121111113M. Holub2.5011149472LSep 21 · 16:31P. Fiser2.25511461E. Ondracek1.5711811113WSep 21 · 15:30E. Ondracek1.4431250P. Fiser2.631114113LSep 21 · 15:00P. Fiser1.915440M. Melisek1.801111113WSep 21 · 14:00P. Fiser1.731111113K. Polak2.004870WSep 16 · 16:33P. Fiser1.3391118113A. Skyba3.251171681WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182
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