TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jaroslav Puk vs Michal Snizek 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Jaroslav Puk
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11139111181210711
Michal Snizek
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJaroslav Puk above · Michal Snizek below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 103 set 5, 7-11
103 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Puk 5–0 Michal Snizek Michal Snizek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Puk beat Snizek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Puk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snizek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPuk 1.28 / Snizek 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Puk)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13188315
Puk1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 16 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Snizek3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 19 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePuk5wins
AwaySnizek0wins
Puk leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePuk100%5 of 5
AwaySnizekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Puk5Snizek0n = 5Puk took 5 of 5
S2Puk3Snizek2n = 5Puk took 3 of 5
S3Puk4Snizek1n = 5Puk took 4 of 5
S4Puk3Snizek0n = 3Puk took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPukSnizekP − SBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match38.629.6+9.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPukSnizekBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 311 vs 179 / 33747.6%53.1%148 / 311 vs 179 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PukPuk 1.28/Snizek 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.1%
Puk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 24 · 06:30J. Puk4011711113M. Snizek34911861
WSep 11 · 06:30J. Puk331111113M. Snizek205960
WSep 4 · 06:30J. Puk341211113M. Snizek2210660
WMar 18 · 07:30J. Puk4112126113M. Snizek3810101171
WMar 13 · 07:15J. Puk45111112113M. Snizek344131071
J. Puk10
WSep 24 · 08:00J. Puk1.6111811113P. Moulis2.20911861WSep 24 · 06:30M. Snizek3.50911861J. Puk1.2811711113WSep 24 · 06:00V. Kral1.83751191J. Puk1.8311118113LSep 11 · 09:19J. Puk1.91101141162F. Husek1.80129114113WSep 11 · 08:00J. Puk1.571310128133P. Moulis2.2511121011112WSep 11 · 06:30M. Snizek3.005960J. Puk1.361111113WSep 11 · 06:00F. Husek1.619101191J. Puk2.2011124113LSep 8 · 09:03J. Puk2.00691171A. Dvoracek1.7311117113WSep 8 · 08:00A. Dvoracek1.441012481J. Puk2.63121011113LSep 8 · 07:00J. Mejzlik1.67113114113J. Puk2.1071191172
M. Snizek10
WSep 24 · 07:30M. Snizek2.10111168133V. Kral1.67951111112LSep 24 · 06:30M. Snizek3.50911861J. Puk1.2811711113WSep 24 · 05:30M. Snizek1.5011511113P. Moulis2.50211161WSep 13 · 15:30M. Snizek1.9111117103M. Holub1.80781171LSep 13 · 14:30M. Snizek1.61116101162L. Krutina2.20811125103LSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 11 · 08:49P. Moulis2.2561231192M. Snizek1.571110119113LSep 11 · 07:30M. Snizek2.20713731F. Husek1.61111111113LSep 11 · 06:30M. Snizek3.005960J. Puk1.361111113WSep 11 · 05:30M. Snizek1.73811511113P. Moulis2.0011511862
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