TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136524
Played Sep 16Finished
Petr Fiser
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117611117611711
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Fiser to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Fiser above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Petr Fiser at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fiser
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Fiser 1345 vs Akopyan 1149
Fiser
Wrong
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiser 80% vs Akopyan 0%
Fiser
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiser 50% vs Akopyan 20%
Fiser
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiser +3 · Akopyan -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fiser)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiser 1.73 / Akopyan 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fiser)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13136524
Fiser1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 8 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Akopyan2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 47 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiserAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 167 vs 221 / 51840.1%42.7%67 / 167 vs 221 / 518Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiserFiser 1.73/Akopyan 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fiser · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Akopyan won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Fiser10
WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381LJul 18 · 10:30P. Fiser2.50971161J. Jnr1.5011118113WJul 18 · 09:30P. Fiser2.2511411133J. Seeman1.579113111LJul 17 · 12:33P. Fiser2.00912651J. Jnr1.73111011113WJul 17 · 11:30J. Jnr1.44911551P. Fiser2.6311811113LJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser1.831264201M. Holub1.83101111223LJul 17 · 10:00P. Fiser2.106990J. Krejcik1.671111113
A. Akopyan10
LSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 9 · 08:38A. Akopyan3.2571291132F. Fryml1.331110115113LSep 9 · 08:00A. Akopyan2.201071461M. Holub1.61121112113LSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351LSep 9 · 06:00F. Fryml1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207620WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642
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