TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12255588
Played Jul 18Finished
Petr Fiser
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111210113118––
Martin Holub
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPetr Fiser above · Martin Holub below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8
70 points played in total.
H2H Petr Fiser 0–2 Martin Holub Petr Fiser has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holub form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiser 2.00 / Holub 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Holub)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12255588
Fiser2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Holub1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 103 of 173
Up 2–0, closes it95% 57 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it78% 80 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeFiser0wins
AwayHolub2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderHolub leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricFiserHolubF − HBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.050.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiserHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 226 vs 353 / 65641.2%53.8%93 / 226 vs 353 / 656Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubFiser 2.00/Holub 1.73
Miss
What we said
55.7%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fiser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser421264201M. Holub54101111223
LJul 12 · 11:45P. Fiser40311111142M. Holub46111374113
P. Fiser10
WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113LJul 18 · 10:30P. Fiser2.50971161J. Jnr1.5011118113WJul 18 · 09:30P. Fiser2.2511411133J. Seeman1.579113111LJul 17 · 12:33P. Fiser2.00912651J. Jnr1.73111011113WJul 17 · 11:30J. Jnr1.44911551P. Fiser2.6311811113LJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser1.831264201M. Holub1.83101111223LJul 17 · 10:00P. Fiser2.106990J. Krejcik1.671111113
M. Holub10
WSep 14 · 13:03M. Holub1.806131111113F. Fryml1.9111159672WSep 14 · 12:00J. Jnr1.916101731M. Holub1.80111215113LSep 14 · 11:00F. Fryml2.2512913113M. Holub1.5710111191WSep 14 · 09:30D. Sabuka2.38101211582M. Holub1.531210611113LSep 13 · 15:30M. Snizek1.9111117103M. Holub1.80781171WSep 13 · 15:00M. Holub2.75111171133J. Seeman1.40491111112LSep 13 · 14:00M. Holub1.911183131L. Krutina1.8091111153LSep 9 · 09:09M. Holub1.83511871L. Krutina1.8311611113LJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser1.831264201M. Holub1.83101111223
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