TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136779
Played Sep 16Finished
Petr Fiser
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171012116711118
Vaclav Coubal
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timePetr Fiser to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Fiser above · Vaclav Coubal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Petr Fiser at 59.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Petr Fiser 2–2 Vaclav Coubal Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Fiser
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiser 1336 vs Coubal 1276
Fiser
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiser 60% vs Coubal 40%
Fiser
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiser 50% vs Coubal 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiser +2 · Coubal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Fiser)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiser 1.57 / Coubal 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Fiser)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13136779
Fiser1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 8 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Coubal2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 38 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back12% 7 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFiser2wins
AwayCoubal2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFisern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayCoubal66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiser1Coubal3n = 4Coubal took 3 of 4
S2Fiser1Coubal3n = 4Coubal took 3 of 4
S3Fiser1Coubal3n = 4Coubal took 3 of 4
S4Fiser2Coubal1n = 3Fiser took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricFiserCoubalF − CBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match39.841.5−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiserCoubalBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 182 vs 180 / 38540.7%46.8%74 / 182 vs 180 / 385Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiserFiser 1.57/Coubal 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Fiser · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fiser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WApr 11 · 13:05P. Fiser515111311113V. Coubal5011815792
LApr 11 · 10:00P. Fiser364712131V. Coubal47111110153
WFeb 24 · 15:00P. Fiser46118511113V. Coubal3631111562
LFeb 14 · 18:30P. Fiser268990V. Coubal331111113
P. Fiser10
WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381LJul 18 · 10:30P. Fiser2.50971161J. Jnr1.5011118113WJul 18 · 09:30P. Fiser2.2511411133J. Seeman1.579113111LJul 17 · 12:33P. Fiser2.00912651J. Jnr1.73111011113WJul 17 · 11:30J. Jnr1.44911551P. Fiser2.6311811113LJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser1.831264201M. Holub1.83101111223LJul 17 · 10:00P. Fiser2.106990J. Krejcik1.671111113
V. Coubal10
LSep 16 · 14:30A. Skyba1.831111113V. Coubal1.836390WSep 8 · 20:31M. Vydra1.578790V. Coubal2.251111113LSep 8 · 19:30V. Coubal2.255670M. Vydra1.571111113LSep 8 · 18:30V. Coubal2.758314121J. Jnr1.40111112143WSep 8 · 17:30V. Coubal2.251111210113M. Cmil1.5764111232LSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460WSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110WSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WAug 25 · 16:34M. Cmil1.5712990V. Coubal2.251411113
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