TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12255762
Played Jul 18Finished
Petr Fiser
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1194111131311––
Jan Seeman
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPetr Fiser above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 73 set 4, 13-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Petr Fiser 1–3 Jan Seeman Petr Fiser has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiser form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiser 2.25 / Seeman 1.57
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Seeman)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12255762
Fiser2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 26 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Seeman1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 21 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFiser1wins
AwaySeeman3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSeeman leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiser33.3%1 of 3
AwaySeemann = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiser3Seeman1n = 4Fiser took 3 of 4
S2Fiser1Seeman3n = 4Seeman took 3 of 4
S3Fiser2Seeman2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricFiserSeemanF − SBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.838.2+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiserSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 224 vs 122 / 23741.1%51.5%92 / 224 vs 122 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanFiser 2.25/Seeman 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.9%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fiser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 16 · 11:00P. Fiser51141071192J. Seeman531212117113
LApr 11 · 12:29P. Fiser279990J. Seeman331111113
LApr 11 · 11:30P. Fiser521111117122J. Seeman50613611143
WMay 11 · 11:30P. Fiser331111113J. Seeman176290
P. Fiser10
WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381LJul 18 · 10:30P. Fiser2.50971161J. Jnr1.5011118113LJul 17 · 12:33P. Fiser2.00912651J. Jnr1.73111011113WJul 17 · 11:30J. Jnr1.44911551P. Fiser2.6311811113LJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser1.831264201M. Holub1.83101111223LJul 17 · 10:00P. Fiser2.106990J. Krejcik1.671111113
J. Seeman10
WSep 13 · 16:59J. Seeman1.44101111123L. Krutina2.631288101WSep 13 · 16:00L. Krutina1.91491181J. Seeman1.8011118113LSep 13 · 15:00M. Holub2.75111171133J. Seeman1.40491111112WSep 13 · 13:30M. Snizek2.20137641J. Seeman1.6111111193WSep 12 · 21:03J. Jnr2.20111012772J. Seeman1.619121011113WSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 19:00J. Seeman1.91611912113J. Jnr1.801171110102LSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113
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