TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12245440
Played Jul 17Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118511511––
Petr Fiser
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Petr Fiser below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 2–0 Petr Fiser Petr Fiser has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiser form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.44 / Fiser 2.63
Signal prob.72% / 29%
Edge (Jnr)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12245440
Jnr1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 77 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it77% 58 of 75
Fiser2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 25 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back16% 3 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJnr2wins
AwayFiser0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJnr leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJnrFiserJ − FBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.537.5+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrFiserBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 435 vs 93 / 22652.9%41.2%230 / 435 vs 93 / 226Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.44/Fiser 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fiser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 16 · 10:00J. Jnr381413113P. Fiser32121190
WJul 11 · 15:00J. Jnr45116611113P. Fiser4381111942
J. Jnr10
LSep 15 · 13:08J. Jnr1.739990J. Blazek2.001111113WSep 15 · 12:00M. Obraz1.737114151J. Jnr2.0011411173LSep 15 · 11:00J. Blazek2.25811912113J. Jnr1.57117111072WSep 15 · 09:30P. Moulis1.5731111952J. Jnr2.25119711113LSep 14 · 12:33J. Jnr1.737119101D. Sabuka2.0011411123LSep 14 · 12:00J. Jnr1.916101731M. Holub1.80111215113LSep 14 · 10:30D. Sabuka2.20111212113J. Jnr1.6113101091LSep 14 · 10:00F. Fryml1.9111128113J. Jnr1.805101171LSep 13 · 20:35P. Moulis1.441112123J. Jnr2.63910100LSep 13 · 19:30J. Mejzlik1.53147811143J. Jnr2.381211118122
P. Fiser10
WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381LJul 18 · 10:30P. Fiser2.50971161J. Jnr1.5011118113WJul 18 · 09:30P. Fiser2.2511411133J. Seeman1.579113111LJul 17 · 12:33P. Fiser2.00912651J. Jnr1.73111011113LJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser1.831264201M. Holub1.83101111223LJul 17 · 10:00P. Fiser2.106990J. Krejcik1.671111113
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