TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136544
Played Sep 16Finished
Antonin Skyba
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811411119911––
Petr Fiser
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timePetr Fiser to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAntonin Skyba above · Petr Fiser below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr Fiser at 65.3%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Fiser
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Skyba 1229 vs Fiser 1345
Fiser
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skyba 60% vs Fiser 80%
Fiser
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skyba 60% vs Fiser 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skyba +2 · Fiser +3
Fiser
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Fiser) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiser form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkyba 2.63 / Fiser 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Fiser)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136544
Skyba2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 26 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Fiser1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 8 of 18
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkybaFiserBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 236 vs 67 / 16741.1%40.1%97 / 236 vs 67 / 167Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
FiserSkyba 2.63/Fiser 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Fiser · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fiser won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Skyba10
WSep 16 · 14:30A. Skyba1.831111113V. Coubal1.836390WSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 10 · 12:43J. Vrnak2.38119114113A. Skyba1.5351131132LSep 10 · 11:30T. Holomek1.83111811143A. Skyba1.83117119122WSep 10 · 11:00A. Skyba1.4471111113J. Vrnak2.63116771LSep 10 · 10:00A. Skyba1.57811731P. Muller2.2511911113LSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 07:30J. Vrnak2.20961171A. Skyba1.6111115113WSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba2.381111113L. Krutina1.535670WSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972
P. Fiser10
LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381LJul 18 · 10:30P. Fiser2.50971161J. Jnr1.5011118113WJul 18 · 09:30P. Fiser2.2511411133J. Seeman1.579113111LJul 17 · 12:33P. Fiser2.00912651J. Jnr1.73111011113WJul 17 · 11:30J. Jnr1.44911551P. Fiser2.6311811113LJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser1.831264201M. Holub1.83101111223LJul 17 · 10:00P. Fiser2.106990J. Krejcik1.671111113
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