TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13103081
Played Sep 9Finished
Artur Akopyan
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111210911115311
Filip Fryml
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingArtur Akopyan above · Filip Fryml below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 90 set 5, 3-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Artur Akopyan 6–9 Filip Fryml Artur Akopyan has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Fryml beat Akopyan 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Fryml)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fryml form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkopyan 3.25 / Fryml 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Fryml)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13103081
Akopyan3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Fryml1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 29 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAkopyan3wins
AwayFryml7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFryml leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAkopyan66.7%2 of 3
AwayFryml85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Akopyan3Fryml7n = 10Fryml took 7 of 10
S2Akopyan4Fryml6n = 10Fryml took 6 of 10
S3Akopyan6Fryml4n = 10Akopyan took 6 of 10
S4Akopyan2Fryml4n = 6Fryml took 4 of 6
S5Akopyan1Fryml3n = 4Fryml took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAkopyanFrymlA − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.037.4−2.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkopyanFrymlBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 528 vs 72 / 14543%49.7%227 / 528 vs 72 / 145Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrymlAkopyan 3.25/Fryml 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Fryml · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fryml won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:00A. Akopyan—7620F. Fryml—1111113
WAug 10 · 07:00A. Akopyan—1111113F. Fryml—5770
LMay 6 · 14:00A. Akopyan—981191F. Fryml—11115113
LApr 23 · 08:39A. Akopyan—91111282F. Fryml—116511113
LApr 23 · 07:30A. Akopyan—57121172F. Fryml—1111105113
LApr 16 · 06:30A. Akopyan—101070F. Fryml—1212113
LMar 20 · 14:30A. Akopyan—11911592F. Fryml—411611113
WMar 19 · 09:00A. Akopyan—11125113F. Fryml—7101161
WFeb 18 · 06:30A. Akopyan—8111110113F. Fryml—11391282
LNov 21 · 08:00A. Akopyan—13520F. Fryml—1511113
A. Akopyan10
LSep 9 · 08:00A. Akopyan2.201071461M. Holub1.61121112113LSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351LSep 9 · 06:00F. Fryml1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207620WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113
F. Fryml10
LSep 9 · 07:30L. Krutina2.0091111113F. Fryml1.73115481LSep 9 · 07:00F. Fryml2.201179121M. Holub1.6151111143WSep 9 · 06:00F. Fryml1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207620LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982LAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik1.611113113F. Fryml2.2061160WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml2.63111197113M. Snizek1.4447111192
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