TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Petr Fiser
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511118411611––
Evzen Ondracek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Fiser above · Evzen Ondracek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11
67 points played in total.
H2H Petr Fiser 6–5 Evzen Ondracek Evzen Ondracek has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Fiser beat Ondracek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Ondracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ondracek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiser 2.25 / Ondracek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Ondracek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13171814
Fiser2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 18 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Ondracek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 26 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiser6wins
AwayOndracek4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFiser leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiser80%4 of 5
AwayOndracek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiser5Ondracek5n = 10split evenly
S2Fiser5Ondracek5n = 10split evenly
S3Fiser5Ondracek5n = 10split evenly
S4Fiser5Ondracek3n = 8Fiser took 5 of 8
S5Fiser2Ondracek1n = 3Fiser took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiserOndracekF − OBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.736.8+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiserOndracekBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 171 vs 112 / 22040.9%50.9%70 / 171 vs 112 / 220Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OndracekFiser 2.25/Ondracek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Ondracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ondracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 15:30P. Fiser361114113E. Ondracek2031250
LMay 11 · 13:30P. Fiser205870E. Ondracek331111113
LSep 24 · 15:45P. Fiser351112571E. Ondracek4041411113
WJul 14 · 20:00P. Fiser40113123113E. Ondracek44811101142
WApr 25 · 16:45P. Fiser4111811113E. Ondracek27311671
WApr 25 · 13:45P. Fiser4181111113E. Ondracek35117891
LMar 26 · 18:00P. Fiser4191161142E. Ondracek45115117113
WMar 26 · 15:00P. Fiser48661112133E. Ondracek471111410112
WMar 14 · 16:00P. Fiser4211119113E. Ondracek33971161
LMar 7 · 18:00P. Fiser33613861E. Ondracek44111111113
P. Fiser10
WSep 21 · 15:30E. Ondracek1.4431250P. Fiser2.631114113LSep 21 · 15:00P. Fiser1.915440M. Melisek1.801111113WSep 21 · 14:00P. Fiser1.731111113K. Polak2.004870WSep 16 · 16:33P. Fiser1.3391118113A. Skyba3.251171681WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381LJul 18 · 10:30P. Fiser2.50971161J. Jnr1.5011118113
E. Ondracek10
LSep 21 · 15:30E. Ondracek1.4431250P. Fiser2.631114113WSep 21 · 14:30E. Ondracek1.83911137123K. Polak1.831181111102WSep 21 · 13:30E. Ondracek1.611111113M. Melisek2.208860WSep 17 · 17:09M. Melisek1.80481181E. Ondracek1.9111115113WSep 17 · 15:30J. Blazek2.506650E. Ondracek1.501111113WSep 17 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.00137157113K. Polak1.731111131152LSep 17 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.536150M. Melisek2.381111113LSep 14 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.101151111113E. Ondracek1.6713117562WSep 14 · 15:30J. Blazek2.38411781E. Ondracek1.5311911113WSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680
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