TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Evzen Ondracek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118116––––
Marian Melisek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeEvzen Ondracek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEvzen Ondracek above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Evzen Ondracek at 58.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Evzen Ondracek 11–8 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ondracek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Ondracek
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ondracek 1411 vs Melisek 1376
Ondracek
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ondracek 60% vs Melisek 40%
Ondracek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ondracek 50% vs Melisek 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ondracek +3 · Melisek +2
Ondracek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Ondracek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOndracek 1.61 / Melisek 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Ondracek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166359
Ondracek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 17)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 26 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Melisek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 62 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOndracek6wins
AwayMelisek4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOndracek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOndracek75%3 of 4
AwayMelisek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ondracek4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S2Ondracek5Melisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Ondracek4Melisek6n = 10Melisek took 6 of 10
S4Ondracek5Melisek2n = 7Ondracek took 5 of 7
S5Ondracek3Melisek1n = 4Ondracek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOndracekMelisekO − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.337.9−2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOndracekMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 218 vs 225 / 46550.9%48.4%111 / 218 vs 225 / 465Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OndracekOndracek 1.61/Melisek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Ondracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ondracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 17:09E. Ondracek3811115113M. Melisek31481181
LSep 17 · 14:00E. Ondracek126150M. Melisek331111113
WAug 21 · 16:44E. Ondracek42311611113M. Melisek4811811992
LAug 21 · 14:00E. Ondracek229940M. Melisek331111113
WJun 5 · 15:30E. Ondracek52811139113M. Melisek47115111192
WOct 22 · 17:05E. Ondracek331111113M. Melisek237970
WOct 22 · 15:00E. Ondracek3711113123M. Melisek346711101
LOct 1 · 16:56E. Ondracek41115101142M. Melisek45711124113
LOct 1 · 16:00E. Ondracek32951171M. Melisek4211119113
WSep 15 · 16:00E. Ondracek44381111113M. Melisek4311119842
E. Ondracek10
LSep 21 · 15:30E. Ondracek1.4431250P. Fiser2.631114113WSep 21 · 14:30E. Ondracek1.83911137123K. Polak1.831181111102WSep 17 · 17:09M. Melisek1.80481181E. Ondracek1.9111115113WSep 17 · 15:30J. Blazek2.506650E. Ondracek1.501111113WSep 17 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.00137157113K. Polak1.731111131152LSep 17 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.536150M. Melisek2.381111113LSep 14 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.101151111113E. Ondracek1.6713117562WSep 14 · 15:30J. Blazek2.38411781E. Ondracek1.5311911113WSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.737650L. Tuma2.001111113
M. Melisek10
WSep 21 · 15:00P. Fiser1.915440M. Melisek1.801111113WSep 19 · 16:39M. Melisek1.401111103J. Seeman2.758860WSep 19 · 16:00M. Melisek1.83811611113L. Krutina1.8311211682LSep 19 · 14:30J. Seeman3.2511118113M. Melisek1.33291171LSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 17:09M. Melisek1.80481181E. Ondracek1.9111115113LSep 17 · 16:00M. Melisek1.83111111652K. Polak1.83561311113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Blazek2.20571231M. Melisek1.61111110113WSep 17 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.536150M. Melisek2.381111113LSep 16 · 12:29M. Melisek1.916101111102M. Hasman1.80111268123
Upcoming Matches
E. Ondracek
Nothing scheduled
M. Melisek
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