TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155012
Played Sep 19Finished
Marian Melisek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811112611116118
Lukas Krutina
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:23 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Krutina to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarian Melisek above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 85 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Krutina at 65.2%
85 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krutina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Melisek 1350 vs Krutina 1459
Krutina
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melisek 20% vs Krutina 100%
Krutina
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melisek 30% vs Krutina 90%
Krutina
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melisek -4 · Krutina +7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krutina) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelisek 1.83 / Krutina 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krutina)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155012
Melisek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Krutina1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelisekKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 463 vs 115 / 21948.2%52.5%223 / 463 vs 115 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaMelisek 1.83/Krutina 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Melisek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Melisek10
WSep 19 · 16:39M. Melisek1.401111103J. Seeman2.758860LSep 19 · 14:30J. Seeman3.2511118113M. Melisek1.33291171LSep 19 · 14:00J. Hanacek1.6779111183M. Melisek2.1011116862LSep 17 · 17:09M. Melisek1.80481181E. Ondracek1.9111115113LSep 17 · 16:00M. Melisek1.83111111652K. Polak1.83561311113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Blazek2.20571231M. Melisek1.61111110113WSep 17 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.536150M. Melisek2.381111113LSep 16 · 12:29M. Melisek1.916101111102M. Hasman1.80111268123WSep 16 · 11:30M. Hasman1.80412691M. Melisek1.91111011113LSep 16 · 11:00M. Melisek2.258770A. Dvoracek1.571111113
L. Krutina10
LSep 19 · 17:08L. Krutina1.83681161J. Hanacek1.8311118113WSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493WSep 19 · 13:30J. Seeman1.73811611L. Krutina2.001191143WSep 17 · 12:58L. Krutina1.57111199113J. Jnr2.2585111152WSep 17 · 12:00L. Krutina1.911111113P. Moulis1.807680WSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113WSep 17 · 10:00J. Jnr2.10116761L. Krutina1.6791111113WSep 16 · 09:03M. Cmil1.9191191192L. Krutina1.80119117113LSep 16 · 08:00L. Krutina1.8012113852M. Cmil1.911061111113WSep 16 · 06:30M. Obraz1.6712118962L. Krutina2.101071111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.