TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13140288
Played Sep 16Finished
Marian Melisek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61110121161181012
Michael Hasman
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarian Melisek above · Michael Hasman below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12
97 points played in total.
H2H Marian Melisek 4–4 Michael Hasman Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Melisek beat Hasman 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hasman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hasman form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelisek 1.91 / Hasman 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hasman)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13140288
Melisek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 62 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Hasman1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 37 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMelisek4wins
AwayHasman4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelisek50%3 of 6
AwayHasmann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melisek6Hasman2n = 8Melisek took 6 of 8
S2Melisek4Hasman4n = 8split evenly
S3Melisek5Hasman3n = 8Melisek took 5 of 8
S4Melisek2Hasman4n = 6Hasman took 4 of 6
S5Melisek1Hasman2n = 3Hasman took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricMelisekHasmanM − HBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match36.134.9+1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelisekHasmanBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 462 vs 68 / 12348.1%55.3%222 / 462 vs 68 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmanMelisek 1.91/Hasman 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hasman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 16 · 11:30M. Melisek43111011113M. Hasman31412691
LJul 14 · 09:30M. Melisek3411311542M. Hasman41411411113
WJul 10 · 12:33M. Melisek331111113M. Hasman165560
WJul 10 · 10:00M. Melisek43311612113M. Hasman45119111042
LJun 17 · 09:45M. Melisek32117771M. Hasman4291111113
LJun 16 · 10:15M. Melisek44111193102M. Hasman47671111123
LApr 28 · 17:13M. Melisek27681121M. Hasman3911116113
WApr 28 · 15:00M. Melisek331111113M. Hasman188640
M. Melisek10
WSep 16 · 11:30M. Hasman1.80412691M. Melisek1.91111011113LSep 16 · 11:00M. Melisek2.258770A. Dvoracek1.571111113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Melisek2.10511591M. Vorel1.6711511113LSep 11 · 12:39F. Schmidtmayer1.4481111113M. Melisek2.63119741LSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Melisek2.6351111113A. Dvoracek1.44117461WSep 9 · 12:29J. Blazek2.10211471M. Melisek1.6711811113WSep 9 · 11:30M. Melisek1.831111113J. Blazek1.839250LSep 9 · 10:30M. Melisek1.5381161192J. Jnr2.38118119113
M. Hasman10
LSep 16 · 11:30M. Hasman1.80412691M. Melisek1.91111011113WSep 16 · 10:30M. Hasman2.001022811113M. Vorel1.73122011722LSep 16 · 09:30M. Hasman1.5359111172A. Dvoracek2.38111166113LSep 9 · 08:18A. Dvoracek2.7511715113M. Hasman1.409111331WSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971LSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113
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