TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136594
Played Sep 16Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111210611911––
Marian Melisek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichael Hasman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Marian Melisek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Michael Hasman at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 4–3 Marian Melisek Marian Melisek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hasman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1483 vs Melisek 1353
Hasman
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 40% vs Melisek 0%
Hasman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 60% vs Melisek 30%
Hasman
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman +1 · Melisek -5
Melisek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hasman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melisek form (0%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 1.80 / Melisek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hasman)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13136594
Hasman1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 37 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it82% 31 of 38
Melisek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 62 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back25% 18 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHasman4wins
AwayMelisek3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderHasman leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHasmann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMelisek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hasman2Melisek5n = 7Melisek took 5 of 7
S2Hasman3Melisek4n = 7Melisek took 4 of 7
S3Hasman3Melisek4n = 7Melisek took 4 of 7
S4Hasman4Melisek1n = 5Hasman took 4 of 5
S5Hasman2Melisek1n = 3Hasman took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricHasmanMelisekH − MBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match35.435.1+0.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanMelisekBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 122 vs 221 / 46155.7%47.9%68 / 122 vs 221 / 461Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HasmanHasman 1.80/Melisek 1.91
Miss
What we said
54%
Hasman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Melisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 14 · 09:30M. Hasman41411411113M. Melisek3411311542
LJul 10 · 12:33M. Hasman165560M. Melisek331111113
LJul 10 · 10:00M. Hasman45119111042M. Melisek43311612113
WJun 17 · 09:45M. Hasman4291111113M. Melisek32117771
WJun 16 · 10:15M. Hasman47671111123M. Melisek44111193102
WApr 28 · 17:13M. Hasman3911116113M. Melisek27681121
LApr 28 · 15:00M. Hasman188640M. Melisek331111113
M. Hasman10
WSep 16 · 12:29M. Melisek1.916101111102M. Hasman1.80111268123WSep 16 · 10:30M. Hasman2.001022811113M. Vorel1.73122011722LSep 16 · 09:30M. Hasman1.5359111172A. Dvoracek2.38111166113LSep 9 · 08:18A. Dvoracek2.7511715113M. Hasman1.409111331WSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971LSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113
M. Melisek10
LSep 16 · 12:29M. Melisek1.916101111102M. Hasman1.80111268123LSep 16 · 11:00M. Melisek2.258770A. Dvoracek1.571111113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Melisek2.10511591M. Vorel1.6711511113LSep 11 · 12:39F. Schmidtmayer1.4481111113M. Melisek2.63119741LSep 11 · 11:30M. Melisek2.38117791F. Schmidtmayer1.5381111113LSep 11 · 10:30M. Melisek2.107101191J. Hanacek1.6711126113WSep 11 · 09:30M. Melisek2.6351111113A. Dvoracek1.44117461WSep 9 · 12:29J. Blazek2.10211471M. Melisek1.6711811113WSep 9 · 11:30M. Melisek1.831111113J. Blazek1.839250LSep 9 · 10:30M. Melisek1.5381161192J. Jnr2.38118119113
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