TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Evzen Ondracek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111214511––––
Petr Fiser
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeEvzen Ondracek to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingEvzen Ondracek above · Petr Fiser below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Evzen Ondracek at 64.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Evzen Ondracek 5–5 Petr Fiser Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ondracek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ondracek 1432 vs Fiser 1356
Ondracek
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ondracek 100% vs Fiser 60%
Ondracek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ondracek 70% vs Fiser 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ondracek +5 · Fiser -1
Ondracek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Ondracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiser form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOndracek 1.44 / Fiser 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Ondracek)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166478
Ondracek1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 26 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it70% 16 of 23
Fiser2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 18 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOndracek5wins
AwayFiser5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOndracek60%3 of 5
AwayFiser60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ondracek5Fiser5n = 10split evenly
S2Ondracek6Fiser4n = 10Ondracek took 6 of 10
S3Ondracek5Fiser5n = 10split evenly
S4Ondracek4Fiser5n = 9Fiser took 5 of 9
S5Ondracek2Fiser2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricOndracekFiserO − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.138.9+1.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOndracekFiserBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 219 vs 69 / 17051.1%40.6%112 / 219 vs 69 / 170Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OndracekOndracek 1.44/Fiser 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Ondracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fiser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 11 · 13:30E. Ondracek331111113P. Fiser205870
WSep 24 · 15:45E. Ondracek4041411113P. Fiser351112571
LJul 14 · 20:00E. Ondracek44811101142P. Fiser40113123113
LApr 25 · 16:45E. Ondracek27311671P. Fiser4111811113
LApr 25 · 13:45E. Ondracek35117891P. Fiser4181111113
WMar 26 · 18:00E. Ondracek45115117113P. Fiser4191161142
LMar 26 · 15:00E. Ondracek471111410112P. Fiser48661112133
LMar 14 · 16:00E. Ondracek33971161P. Fiser4211119113
WMar 7 · 18:00E. Ondracek44111111113P. Fiser33613861
WMar 7 · 16:00E. Ondracek53811911143P. Fiser48116118122
E. Ondracek10
WSep 21 · 14:30E. Ondracek1.83911137123K. Polak1.831181111102WSep 21 · 13:30E. Ondracek1.611111113M. Melisek2.208860WSep 17 · 17:09M. Melisek1.80481181E. Ondracek1.9111115113WSep 17 · 15:30J. Blazek2.506650E. Ondracek1.501111113WSep 17 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.00137157113K. Polak1.731111131152LSep 17 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.536150M. Melisek2.381111113LSep 14 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.101151111113E. Ondracek1.6713117562WSep 14 · 15:30J. Blazek2.38411781E. Ondracek1.5311911113WSep 14 · 15:00E. Ondracek2.101111113J. Hanacek1.678680LSep 14 · 14:00E. Ondracek1.737650L. Tuma2.001111113
P. Fiser10
LSep 21 · 15:00P. Fiser1.915440M. Melisek1.801111113WSep 21 · 14:00P. Fiser1.731111113K. Polak2.004870WSep 16 · 16:33P. Fiser1.3391118113A. Skyba3.251171681WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381LJul 18 · 10:30P. Fiser2.50971161J. Jnr1.5011118113WJul 18 · 09:30P. Fiser2.2511411133J. Seeman1.579113111
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