TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Petr Fiser vs Martin Holub 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111214119114117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timePetr Fiser to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Fiser above · Martin Holub below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 97 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Petr Fiser at 62.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Petr Fiser 2–2 Martin Holub Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Fiser
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiser 1362 vs Holub 1357
Fiser
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiser 60% vs Holub 40%
Fiser
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiser 70% vs Holub 40%
Fiser
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiser -1 · Holub -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Fiser)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiser 1.50 / Holub 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Fiser)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13203253
Fiser1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 12 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it69% 11 of 16
Holub2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 53 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back30% 14 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFiser2wins
AwayHolub2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiser2Holub2n = 4split evenly
S2Fiser2Holub2n = 4split evenly
S3Fiser3Holub1n = 4Fiser took 3 of 4
S4Fiser2Holub1n = 3Fiser took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFiserHolubF − HBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.238.0+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiserHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 172 vs 358 / 65040.7%55.1%70 / 172 vs 358 / 650Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.340.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiserFiser 1.50/Holub 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Fiser · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fiser won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 18 · 12:28P. Fiser331111113M. Holub206680
WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser3841211113M. Holub321110381
LJul 17 · 11:00P. Fiser421264201M. Holub54101111223
LJul 12 · 11:45P. Fiser40311111142M. Holub46111374113
P. Fiser10
LSep 21 · 16:31P. Fiser2.25511461E. Ondracek1.5711811113WSep 21 · 15:30E. Ondracek1.4431250P. Fiser2.631114113LSep 21 · 15:00P. Fiser1.915440M. Melisek1.801111113WSep 21 · 14:00P. Fiser1.731111113K. Polak2.004870WSep 16 · 16:33P. Fiser1.3391118113A. Skyba3.251171681WSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113LSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113WSep 16 · 14:00P. Fiser1.571110117113V. Coubal2.2571261182WJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113WJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381
M. Holub10
LSep 27 · 10:30M. Snizek1.731111113M. Holub2.007990LSep 25 · 08:33L. Krutina1.67713911113M. Holub2.10111111682LSep 25 · 07:30M. Holub1.73111181352F. Fryml2.00461115113WSep 25 · 06:30M. Holub2.1011611113L. Krutina1.67711781LSep 25 · 05:30M. Holub1.611081181D. Sabuka2.2012116113WSep 23 · 08:39M. Holub1.9111911113F. Fryml1.80511861LSep 23 · 08:00M. Holub2.20881111102P. Moulis1.61111188123WSep 23 · 06:30L. Krutina1.73811981M. Holub2.0011911113LJul 18 · 12:28M. Holub2.506680P. Fiser1.501111113LJul 18 · 11:30P. Fiser2.0041211113M. Holub1.731110381
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