TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Krutina vs Martin Holub 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111311911116118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · Martin Holub below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8
98 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 34–28 Martin Holub Martin Holub has won 28 of their 62 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Holub beat Krutina 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 1.67 / Holub 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Krutina)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13193422
Krutina1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite56% won 41 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Holub2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 54 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back29% 14 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrutina6wins
AwayHolub4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKrutina leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutina83.3%5 of 6
AwayHolub75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutina6Holub4n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S2Krutina5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S3Krutina6Holub4n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S4Krutina6Holub4n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrutinaHolubK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.437.3+3.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 236 vs 360 / 65351.7%55.1%122 / 236 vs 360 / 653Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaKrutina 1.67/Holub 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 06:30L. Krutina33711781M. Holub3911611113
LSep 23 · 06:30L. Krutina36811981M. Holub4211911113
WSep 21 · 08:00L. Krutina4012611113M. Holub311011371
WSep 13 · 14:00L. Krutina4691111153M. Holub351183131
WSep 9 · 09:09L. Krutina3911611113M. Holub31511871
WSep 9 · 05:30L. Krutina4511118153M. Holub396911131
LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina51111012992M. Holub539121011113
WAug 4 · 10:00L. Krutina3611311113M. Holub25611621
LJun 28 · 20:58L. Krutina378118101M. Holub4311911123
WJun 28 · 20:00L. Krutina4111811113M. Holub35611991
L. Krutina10
LSep 25 · 08:00L. Krutina2.756117101D. Sabuka1.4011411123LSep 25 · 06:30M. Holub2.1011611113L. Krutina1.67711781LSep 25 · 06:00F. Fryml2.251111113L. Krutina1.576650LSep 23 · 09:09P. Moulis2.63111110113L. Krutina1.44841231WSep 23 · 07:30L. Krutina1.7371111113F. Fryml2.00115781LSep 23 · 06:30L. Krutina1.73811981M. Holub2.0011911113WSep 23 · 05:30L. Krutina1.44121138113P. Moulis2.63109111192WSep 22 · 12:34M. Vorel1.57116971L. Krutina2.2581111113LSep 22 · 11:30L. Krutina1.914911101M. Vorel1.8011116123LSep 22 · 10:30L. Krutina1.57611981J. Jnr2.2511911113
M. Holub10
LSep 25 · 07:30M. Holub1.73111181352F. Fryml2.00461115113WSep 25 · 06:30M. Holub2.1011611113L. Krutina1.67711781LSep 25 · 05:30M. Holub1.611081181D. Sabuka2.2012116113WSep 23 · 08:39M. Holub1.9111911113F. Fryml1.80511861LSep 23 · 08:00M. Holub2.20881111102P. Moulis1.61111188123WSep 23 · 06:30L. Krutina1.73811981M. Holub2.0011911113LSep 23 · 06:00F. Fryml1.9151111113M. Holub1.80118351WSep 21 · 08:28M. Holub1.338111111113A. Skyba3.2511913562LSep 21 · 08:00L. Krutina1.7312611113M. Holub2.001011371WSep 21 · 07:00A. Skyba3.4011751142M. Holub1.30611118113
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