TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Pavel Moulis vs Lukas Krutina 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Pavel Moulis
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181141012113––
Lukas Krutina
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Moulis above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 70 set 4, 11-3
70 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Moulis 3–4 Lukas Krutina Pavel Moulis has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moulis form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoulis 2.63 / Krutina 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Krutina)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13182655
Moulis2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 22 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Krutina1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 39 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it76% 29 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMoulis3wins
AwayKrutina4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderKrutina leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoulis100%3 of 3
AwayKrutina100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moulis3Krutina4n = 7Krutina took 4 of 7
S2Moulis3Krutina4n = 7Krutina took 4 of 7
S3Moulis3Krutina4n = 7Krutina took 4 of 7
S4Moulis2Krutina2n = 4split evenly
S5Moulis2Krutina2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricMoulisKrutinaM − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match39.339.1+0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoulisKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 448 vs 122 / 23243.5%52.6%195 / 448 vs 122 / 232Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaMoulis 2.63/Krutina 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moulis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 23 · 05:30P. Moulis50109111192L. Krutina45121138113
LSep 22 · 09:30P. Moulis31108130L. Krutina381211153
LSep 17 · 12:00P. Moulis217680L. Krutina331111113
LApr 15 · 14:45P. Moulis45811411112L. Krutina49115119133
WFeb 4 · 16:30P. Moulis47111168113L. Krutina3926111192
WJun 11 · 16:10P. Moulis46119114113L. Krutina4681181182
WJun 11 · 15:15P. Moulis351111133L. Krutina2458110
P. Moulis10
WSep 23 · 08:00M. Holub2.20881111102P. Moulis1.61111188123WSep 23 · 07:00F. Fryml2.00511611152P. Moulis1.73116119173LSep 23 · 05:30L. Krutina1.44121138113P. Moulis2.63109111192WSep 22 · 13:05P. Moulis2.101111113J. Jnr1.675820WSep 22 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5761112662P. Moulis2.251161011113LSep 22 · 11:00M. Vorel1.3011815113P. Moulis3.406111361LSep 22 · 09:30L. Krutina1.571211153P. Moulis2.25108130WSep 19 · 12:45P. Moulis3.0091151253L. Boura1.36113111012LSep 19 · 12:00P. Moulis2.0511111110102J. Jnr1.65813812123LSep 19 · 10:30M. Cmil1.61116511113P. Moulis2.2091111882
L. Krutina10
WSep 23 · 07:30L. Krutina1.7371111113F. Fryml2.00115781LSep 23 · 06:30L. Krutina1.73811981M. Holub2.0011911113WSep 23 · 05:30L. Krutina1.44121138113P. Moulis2.63109111192WSep 22 · 12:34M. Vorel1.57116971L. Krutina2.2581111113LSep 22 · 11:30L. Krutina1.914911101M. Vorel1.8011116123LSep 22 · 10:30L. Krutina1.57611981J. Jnr2.2511911113WSep 22 · 09:30L. Krutina1.571211153P. Moulis2.25108130WSep 21 · 08:58L. Krutina1.36119117113P. Muller3.0051161142WSep 21 · 08:00L. Krutina1.7312611113M. Holub2.001011371WSep 21 · 06:30P. Muller2.75491281L. Krutina1.40111110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.