TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Lukas Krutina
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
115911116711114
Patrik Muller
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · Patrik Muller below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 86 set 5, 11-4
86 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 8–2 Patrik Muller Patrik Muller has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Krutina beat Muller 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 1.36 / Muller 3.00
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Krutina)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13168549
Krutina1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 35 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Muller3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 18 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrutina8wins
AwayMuller2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrutina leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutina100%5 of 5
AwayMuller40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutina5Muller5n = 10split evenly
S2Krutina7Muller3n = 10Krutina took 7 of 10
S3Krutina3Muller7n = 10Muller took 7 of 10
S4Krutina7Muller1n = 8Krutina took 7 of 8
S5Krutina5Muller1n = 6Krutina took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrutinaMullerK − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match45.840.3+5.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 224 vs 71 / 15852.2%44.9%117 / 224 vs 71 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaKrutina 1.36/Muller 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 06:30L. Krutina43111110113P. Muller33491281
WJun 26 · 11:00L. Krutina351311113P. Muller2311480
WJun 22 · 12:00L. Krutina569111012143P. Muller541191210122
LJun 13 · 16:16L. Krutina406131381P. Muller48111115113
LJun 13 · 14:15L. Krutina50991111102P. Muller50111188123
WJun 10 · 12:58L. Krutina48127711113P. Muller45101111672
WJun 10 · 12:00L. Krutina341111123P. Muller2596100
WJun 6 · 10:00L. Krutina47119511113P. Muller3871111452
WFeb 2 · 18:15L. Krutina5410111111113P. Muller4412413692
WFeb 2 · 17:00L. Krutina511111711113P. Muller4313711842
L. Krutina10
WSep 21 · 08:00L. Krutina1.7312611113M. Holub2.001011371WSep 21 · 06:30P. Muller2.75491281L. Krutina1.40111110113LSep 21 · 06:00A. Skyba2.251115113L. Krutina1.5751390LSep 19 · 17:08L. Krutina1.83681161J. Hanacek1.8311118113LSep 19 · 16:00M. Melisek1.83811611113L. Krutina1.8311211682WSep 19 · 15:00J. Hanacek2.207111251L. Krutina1.611171493WSep 19 · 13:30J. Seeman1.73811611L. Krutina2.001191143WSep 17 · 12:58L. Krutina1.57111199113J. Jnr2.2585111152WSep 17 · 12:00L. Krutina1.911111113P. Moulis1.807680WSep 17 · 10:30J. Seeman1.5711791132L. Krutina2.25811119113
P. Muller10
WSep 21 · 07:30P. Muller1.91711117123A. Skyba1.80116911102LSep 21 · 06:30P. Muller2.75491281L. Krutina1.40111110113WSep 21 · 05:30P. Muller3.00911711133M. Holub1.36118115112LSep 18 · 08:44P. Muller1.4411118362J. Vrnak2.63851111113LSep 18 · 08:00P. Muller2.6313118932D. Sabuka1.441181111113LSep 18 · 06:30M. Holub1.4091111123P. Muller2.751174101WSep 18 · 06:00J. Vrnak2.751151011102P. Muller1.40911124123LSep 10 · 13:14P. Muller1.61911611112T. Holomek2.20113117133WSep 10 · 12:00P. Muller1.5312117113J. Vrnak2.381091151LSep 10 · 10:30T. Holomek2.1010101111113P. Muller1.6712127882
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