TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Lukas Krutina vs David Sabuka 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111147111012––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 72 set 4, 10-12 — our read held David Sabuka at 66.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 0–2 David Sabuka Lukas Krutina has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:08What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sabuka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krutina 1382 vs Sabuka 1363
Krutina
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutina 20% vs Sabuka 40%
Sabuka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutina 40% vs Sabuka 60%
Sabuka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutina -3 · Sabuka +2
Krutina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sabuka form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 2.75 / Sabuka 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Sabuka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13190633
Krutina2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog56% won 31 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back36% 11 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Sabuka1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 62 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 44 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrutina0wins
AwaySabuka2wins
Sabuka leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKrutinaSabukaK − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.537.5−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 235 vs 246 / 51451.9%47.9%122 / 235 vs 246 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaKrutina 2.75/Sabuka 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 4 · 12:00L. Krutina196580D. Sabuka331111113
LAug 3 · 11:00L. Krutina32481191D. Sabuka4211119113
L. Krutina10
WSep 25 · 08:33L. Krutina1.67713911113M. Holub2.10111111682LSep 25 · 06:30M. Holub2.1011611113L. Krutina1.67711781LSep 25 · 06:00F. Fryml2.251111113L. Krutina1.576650LSep 23 · 09:09P. Moulis2.63111110113L. Krutina1.44841231WSep 23 · 07:30L. Krutina1.7371111113F. Fryml2.00115781LSep 23 · 06:30L. Krutina1.73811981M. Holub2.0011911113WSep 23 · 05:30L. Krutina1.44121138113P. Moulis2.63109111192WSep 22 · 12:34M. Vorel1.57116971L. Krutina2.2581111113LSep 22 · 11:30L. Krutina1.914911101M. Vorel1.8011116123LSep 22 · 10:30L. Krutina1.57611981J. Jnr2.2511911113
D. Sabuka10
LSep 25 · 09:05D. Sabuka1.441011871F. Fryml2.6312911113WSep 25 · 07:00F. Fryml2.1011270D. Sabuka1.671311113WSep 25 · 05:30M. Holub1.611081181D. Sabuka2.2012116113LSep 23 · 12:33D. Sabuka1.5071111862R. Slunecko2.50118711113LSep 23 · 12:00M. Melisek1.3611116113D. Sabuka3.00761161LSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.501121191D. Sabuka1.5013119113LSep 20 · 21:04M. Cmil1.801111123D. Sabuka1.9189100WSep 20 · 19:30D. Sabuka1.33614118113J. Mares3.25111281192WSep 20 · 18:30D. Sabuka2.009111111113M. Cmil1.7311413972
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