TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
David Sabuka vs Filip Fryml 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119811711––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Filip Fryml below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 79 set 4, 7-11
79 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 3–1 Filip Fryml Filip Fryml has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Sabuka beat Fryml 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 1.44 / Fryml 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Sabuka)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13193531
Sabuka1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 62 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 44 of 57
Fryml2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 16 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back31% 5 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSabuka3wins
AwayFryml1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderSabuka leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSabuka100%3 of 3
AwayFrymln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sabuka3Fryml1n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
S2Sabuka3Fryml1n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
S3Sabuka3Fryml1n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSabukaFrymlS − FBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.029.8+7.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaFrymlBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 515 vs 79 / 15648%50.6%247 / 515 vs 79 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSabuka 1.44/Fryml 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fryml won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 25 · 07:00D. Sabuka351311113F. Fryml2011270
LSep 14 · 11:30D. Sabuka377101191F. Fryml4111127113
WAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka331111113F. Fryml154560
WAug 12 · 08:00D. Sabuka43111118123F. Fryml43651111102
D. Sabuka10
WSep 25 · 08:00L. Krutina2.756117101D. Sabuka1.4011411123WSep 25 · 07:00F. Fryml2.1011270D. Sabuka1.671311113WSep 25 · 05:30M. Holub1.611081181D. Sabuka2.2012116113LSep 23 · 12:33D. Sabuka1.5071111862R. Slunecko2.50118711113LSep 23 · 12:00M. Melisek1.3611116113D. Sabuka3.00761161LSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.501121191D. Sabuka1.5013119113LSep 20 · 21:04M. Cmil1.801111123D. Sabuka1.9189100WSep 20 · 19:30D. Sabuka1.33614118113J. Mares3.25111281192WSep 20 · 18:30D. Sabuka2.009111111113M. Cmil1.7311413972
F. Fryml10
WSep 25 · 07:30M. Holub1.73111181352F. Fryml2.00461115113LSep 25 · 07:00F. Fryml2.1011270D. Sabuka1.671311113WSep 25 · 06:00F. Fryml2.251111113L. Krutina1.576650LSep 23 · 08:39M. Holub1.9111911113F. Fryml1.80511861LSep 23 · 07:30L. Krutina1.7371111113F. Fryml2.00115781LSep 23 · 07:00F. Fryml2.00511611152P. Moulis1.73116119173WSep 23 · 06:00F. Fryml1.9151111113M. Holub1.80118351LSep 14 · 13:03M. Holub1.806131111113F. Fryml1.9111159672WSep 14 · 11:30D. Sabuka1.447101191F. Fryml2.6311127113WSep 14 · 11:00F. Fryml2.2512913113M. Holub1.5710111191
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