TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126888
Played Sep 14Finished
David Sabuka
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012117911––
Filip Fryml
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:57 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Filip Fryml below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held David Sabuka at 64.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 2–0 Filip Fryml Filip Fryml has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:57What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sabuka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sabuka 1318 vs Fryml 1345
Fryml
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sabuka 40% vs Fryml 60%
Fryml
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sabuka 50% vs Fryml 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sabuka +1 · Fryml +3
Fryml
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fryml form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 1.44 / Fryml 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Sabuka)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126888
Sabuka1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 62 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it76% 44 of 58
Fryml2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 13 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSabuka2wins
AwayFryml0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSabuka leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSabukaFrymlS − FBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.029.0+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaFrymlBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 519 vs 75 / 14847.2%50.7%245 / 519 vs 75 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSabuka 1.44/Fryml 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fryml won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka331111113F. Fryml154560
WAug 12 · 08:00D. Sabuka43111118123F. Fryml43651111102
D. Sabuka10
WSep 14 · 10:30D. Sabuka2.20111212113J. Jnr1.6113101091LSep 14 · 09:30D. Sabuka2.38101211582M. Holub1.531210611113WSep 12 · 20:34D. Sabuka1.911111113J. Mares1.804220LSep 12 · 20:00D. Sabuka2.00681171J. Jnr1.7311118113LSep 12 · 18:30J. Mares2.383131373D. Sabuka1.5311111151WSep 12 · 18:00J. Seeman2.00123112132D. Sabuka1.7310111110153WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111
F. Fryml10
WSep 14 · 11:00F. Fryml2.2512913113M. Holub1.5710111191WSep 14 · 10:00F. Fryml1.9111128113J. Jnr1.805101171WSep 9 · 08:38A. Akopyan3.2571291132F. Fryml1.331110115113LSep 9 · 07:30L. Krutina2.0091111113F. Fryml1.73115481LSep 9 · 07:00F. Fryml2.201179121M. Holub1.6151111143WSep 9 · 06:00F. Fryml1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207620LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113
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