TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
David Sabuka vs Radek Slunecko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
David Sabuka
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711118117811611
Radek Slunecko
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Radek Slunecko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 91 set 5, 6-11
91 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 6–1 Radek Slunecko Radek Slunecko has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sabuka beat Slunecko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slunecko form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 1.50 / Slunecko 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Sabuka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13183554
Sabuka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 61 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 43 of 56
Slunecko2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 8 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSabuka6wins
AwaySlunecko1wins
Sabuka leads 6–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSabuka100%6 of 6
AwaySluneckon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sabuka6Slunecko1n = 7Sabuka took 6 of 7
S2Sabuka6Slunecko1n = 7Sabuka took 6 of 7
S3Sabuka2Slunecko5n = 7Slunecko took 5 of 7
S4Sabuka3Slunecko1n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home571%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSabukaSluneckoSabuka − SluneckoBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match38.634.0+4.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaSluneckoBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 515 vs 73 / 14947.8%49%246 / 515 vs 73 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSabuka 1.50/Slunecko 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slunecko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 23 · 09:30D. Sabuka4413119113R. Slunecko331121191
WJun 18 · 12:26D. Sabuka4412138113R. Slunecko3910111171
WJun 18 · 11:00D. Sabuka331111113R. Slunecko217860
WMay 24 · 20:00D. Sabuka4211119113R. Slunecko35871191
LMar 27 · 10:15D. Sabuka30381181R. Slunecko4211119113
D. Sabuka10
LSep 23 · 12:00M. Melisek1.3611116113D. Sabuka3.00761161LSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.501121191D. Sabuka1.5013119113LSep 20 · 21:04M. Cmil1.801111123D. Sabuka1.9189100WSep 20 · 19:30D. Sabuka1.33614118113J. Mares3.25111281192WSep 20 · 18:30D. Sabuka2.009111111113M. Cmil1.7311413972WSep 20 · 17:30D. Sabuka1.3011117113A. Akopyan3.40981141LSep 18 · 09:13D. Sabuka1.91811681M. Holub1.8011611113WSep 18 · 08:00P. Muller2.6313118932D. Sabuka1.441181111113WSep 18 · 07:00J. Vrnak3.501141081D. Sabuka1.2841112113
R. Slunecko10
LSep 23 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.44111281152J. Blazek2.635101113113LSep 23 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57711871M. Melisek2.2511811113LSep 23 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.501121191D. Sabuka1.5013119113LSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171WSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491WSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832LSep 1 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.75711291M. Vorel1.4011611113LAug 26 · 12:28A. Dvoracek2.501111113R. Slunecko1.507750LAug 26 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.80117101552J. Hanacek1.916111213113WAug 26 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.4411811113A. Dvoracek2.63911861
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