TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
David Sabuka
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119118711114––
Artur Akopyan
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:24 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held David Sabuka at 76.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 4–2 Artur Akopyan Artur Akopyan has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Sabuka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Sabuka
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sabuka 1327 vs Akopyan 1168
Sabuka
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sabuka 80% vs Akopyan 20%
Sabuka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sabuka 60% vs Akopyan 30%
Sabuka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sabuka -1 · Akopyan -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 1.30 / Akopyan 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Sabuka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161678
Sabuka1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 62 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it76% 44 of 58
Akopyan3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSabuka4wins
AwayAkopyan2wins
Sabuka leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSabukan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAkopyan50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sabuka2Akopyan4n = 6Akopyan took 4 of 6
S2Sabuka4Akopyan2n = 6Sabuka took 4 of 6
S3Sabuka3Akopyan3n = 6split evenly
S4Sabuka4Akopyan1n = 5Sabuka took 4 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSabukaAkopyanS − ABasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match36.732.7+4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 516 vs 222 / 52147.5%42.6%245 / 516 vs 222 / 521Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSabuka 1.30/Akopyan 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 13 · 11:00D. Sabuka35911691A. Akopyan4011711113
WAug 5 · 06:00D. Sabuka4413911113A. Akopyan351111671
WAug 4 · 09:30D. Sabuka3961111113A. Akopyan26112671
LAug 3 · 13:13D. Sabuka237970A. Akopyan331111113
WAug 3 · 10:00D. Sabuka3851111113A. Akopyan31118841
WAug 2 · 06:00D. Sabuka4111118113A. Akopyan31761171
D. Sabuka10
WSep 20 · 18:30D. Sabuka2.009111111113M. Cmil1.7311413972LSep 18 · 09:13D. Sabuka1.91811681M. Holub1.8011611113WSep 18 · 08:00P. Muller2.6313118932D. Sabuka1.441181111113WSep 18 · 07:00J. Vrnak3.501141081D. Sabuka1.2841112113WSep 18 · 05:30M. Holub1.53713100D. Sabuka2.381115123WSep 14 · 12:33J. Jnr1.737119101D. Sabuka2.0011411123LSep 14 · 11:30D. Sabuka1.447101191F. Fryml2.6311127113WSep 14 · 10:30D. Sabuka2.20111212113J. Jnr1.6113101091LSep 14 · 09:30D. Sabuka2.38101211582M. Holub1.531210611113WSep 12 · 20:34D. Sabuka1.911111113J. Mares1.804220
A. Akopyan10
LSep 16 · 17:05A. Akopyan2.757960V. Coubal1.401111113LSep 16 · 16:00V. Coubal1.4451111153A. Akopyan2.631197131WSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113LSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 9 · 08:38A. Akopyan3.2571291132F. Fryml1.331110115113LSep 9 · 08:00A. Akopyan2.201071461M. Holub1.61121112113LSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351LSep 9 · 06:00F. Fryml1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207620WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741
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