TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Martin Holub
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111191113115116
Antonin Skyba
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMartin Holub above · Antonin Skyba below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 96 set 5, 11-6
96 points played in total.
H2H Martin Holub 23–11 Antonin Skyba Antonin Skyba has won 11 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Holub beat Skyba 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skyba form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 1.33 / Skyba 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Holub)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13168460
Holub1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 97 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it98% 47 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it75% 70 of 94
Skyba3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 25 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub8wins
AwaySkyba2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHolub leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub100%4 of 4
AwaySkyba33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub4Skyba6n = 10Skyba took 6 of 10
S2Holub9Skyba1n = 10Holub took 9 of 10
S3Holub9Skyba1n = 10Holub took 9 of 10
S4Holub3Skyba4n = 7Skyba took 4 of 7
S5Holub2Skyba2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubSkybaH − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.734.9+5.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubSkybaBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 649 vs 98 / 24155.2%40.7%358 / 649 vs 98 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubHolub 1.33/Skyba 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 21 · 07:00M. Holub47611118113A. Skyba3811751142
WAug 14 · 09:05M. Holub45911113113A. Skyba3711291142
WAug 14 · 08:00M. Holub4071111113A. Skyba34117971
LJul 30 · 06:30M. Holub46111171162A. Skyba46136115113
WJun 29 · 10:00M. Holub4212811113A. Skyba351011771
WJun 22 · 07:00M. Holub331111113A. Skyba249690
WMay 28 · 08:44M. Holub361111143A. Skyba2484120
WMay 28 · 07:30M. Holub371114123A. Skyba31912100
LMay 19 · 09:03M. Holub4071111562A. Skyba45116611113
M. Holub10
LSep 21 · 08:00L. Krutina1.7312611113M. Holub2.001011371WSep 21 · 07:00A. Skyba3.4011751142M. Holub1.30611118113LSep 21 · 05:30P. Muller3.00911711133M. Holub1.36118115112WSep 18 · 09:13D. Sabuka1.91811681M. Holub1.8011611113WSep 18 · 07:30M. Holub1.40781111113J. Vrnak2.7511117992WSep 18 · 06:30M. Holub1.4091111123P. Muller2.751174101LSep 18 · 05:30M. Holub1.53713100D. Sabuka2.381115123WSep 14 · 13:03M. Holub1.806131111113F. Fryml1.9111159672WSep 14 · 12:00J. Jnr1.916101731M. Holub1.80111215113LSep 14 · 11:00F. Fryml2.2512913113M. Holub1.5710111191
A. Skyba10
LSep 21 · 07:30P. Muller1.91711117123A. Skyba1.80116911102LSep 21 · 07:00A. Skyba3.4011751142M. Holub1.30611118113WSep 21 · 06:00A. Skyba2.251115113L. Krutina1.5751390LSep 16 · 16:33P. Fiser1.3391118113A. Skyba3.251171681LSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113WSep 16 · 14:30A. Skyba1.831111113V. Coubal1.836390WSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 10 · 12:43J. Vrnak2.38119114113A. Skyba1.5351131132LSep 10 · 11:30T. Holomek1.83111811143A. Skyba1.83117119122WSep 10 · 11:00A. Skyba1.4471111113J. Vrnak2.63116771
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