TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Branny vs Vladislav Reska 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119114––––
Vladislav Reska
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:41 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Vladislav Reska below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Daniel Branny at 57.2%
54 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 23–12 Vladislav Reska Vladislav Reska has won 12 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Branny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-12 in 35
Branny
Correct
gap of 11 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1519 vs Reska 1451
Branny
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 40% vs Reska 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 60% vs Reska 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -2 · Reska +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Branny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 1.67 / Reska 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Branny)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13188136
Branny1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Reska2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 54 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back19% 11 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBranny6wins
AwayReska4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBranny leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBranny80%4 of 5
AwayReska60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny5Reska5n = 10split evenly
S2Branny6Reska4n = 10Branny took 6 of 10
S3Branny7Reska3n = 10Branny took 7 of 10
S4Branny4Reska3n = 7Branny took 4 of 7
S5Branny1Reska2n = 3Reska took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrannyReskaB − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.537.8+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyReskaBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 347 vs 256 / 50751.9%50.5%180 / 347 vs 256 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyBranny 1.67/Reska 2.10
Hit
What we said
57%
Branny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny361311123V. Reska29118100
WSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny4291111113V. Reska32117861
WSep 17 · 17:45D. Branny50117119123V. Reska41311611102
LAug 16 · 17:40D. Branny2771190V. Reska351113113
LJul 27 · 19:40D. Branny4211412692V. Reska452111011113
LJul 22 · 21:08D. Branny53101191852V. Reska581281116113
WJul 22 · 18:40D. Branny351111133V. Reska2348110
WJun 29 · 19:15D. Branny4951714133V. Reska49111512111
LJun 21 · 20:35D. Branny336111061V. Reska3811412113
WJun 21 · 19:10D. Branny3811511113V. Reska28611741
D. Branny10
LSep 21 · 20:43P. Vinansky1.8014411113D. Branny1.911211981LSep 21 · 20:15P. Vinansky2.001113133D. Branny1.73711110WSep 21 · 19:15D. Branny2.501111113A. Kanak1.507960LSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341WSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113LSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271WSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100WSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861WSep 17 · 19:45D. Branny1.831111113J. Przybyla1.836340
V. Reska10
WSep 24 · 18:45M. Raska1.9111611992V. Reska1.80611911113WSep 23 · 20:50V. Reska1.61117411113P. Chvojka2.2091111892LSep 23 · 19:45V. Reska1.67121111632F. Theodor2.10148911113LSep 23 · 18:45V. Reska1.8012711792K. Zeman1.911011711113WSep 23 · 17:45V. Reska1.61711611113P. Chvojka2.2011811692LSep 20 · 17:15O. Kus2.2071111113V. Reska1.61118981WSep 20 · 15:40A. Drozd2.101011771V. Reska1.6712511113WSep 20 · 15:10P. Jokiel2.381011721V. Reska1.5312511113LSep 18 · 17:45D. Branny1.731311123V. Reska2.00118100LSep 17 · 21:20D. Branny1.8391111113V. Reska1.83117861
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