TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vladislav Reska vs Peter Chvojka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711411118119
Peter Chvojka
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Peter Chvojka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9
92 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 18–10 Peter Chvojka Peter Chvojka has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvojka form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.61 / Chvojka 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Reska)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13186111
Reska1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 69 of 127
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Chvojka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 42 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska5wins
AwayChvojka5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska80%4 of 5
AwayChvojka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska5Chvojka5n = 10split evenly
S2Reska5Chvojka5n = 10split evenly
S3Reska6Chvojka4n = 10Reska took 6 of 10
S4Reska2Chvojka2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaChvojkaR − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.033.2−1.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaChvojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 505 vs 147 / 31850.3%46.2%254 / 505 vs 147 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.61/Chvojka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 2 · 20:15V. Reska331111113P. Chvojka237970
LJun 28 · 12:40V. Reska441110111112P. Chvojka49612713113
LJun 28 · 12:15V. Reska197660P. Chvojka331111113
WJun 2 · 17:45V. Reska3961111113P. Chvojka32119481
WMay 25 · 17:45V. Reska4111118113P. Chvojka34771191
WMay 23 · 20:15V. Reska351111133P. Chvojka2476110
LApr 26 · 13:10V. Reska2577110P. Chvojka351111133
LApr 26 · 11:40V. Reska30911281P. Chvojka43111110113
WApr 14 · 20:45V. Reska341112113P. Chvojka2681080
LApr 14 · 20:15V. Reska203980P. Chvojka331111113
V. Reska10
LSep 23 · 19:45V. Reska1.67121111632F. Theodor2.10148911113LSep 23 · 18:45V. Reska1.8012711792K. Zeman1.911011711113WSep 23 · 17:45V. Reska1.61711611113P. Chvojka2.2011811692LSep 20 · 17:15O. Kus2.2071111113V. Reska1.61118981WSep 20 · 15:40A. Drozd2.101011771V. Reska1.6712511113WSep 20 · 15:10P. Jokiel2.381011721V. Reska1.5312511113LSep 20 · 14:10V. Reska1.578611101O. Kus2.2511118123LSep 18 · 20:38V. Reska1.5777100J. Przybyla2.251111123WSep 18 · 20:15J. Przybyla2.0011460V. Reska1.731311113LSep 18 · 19:15V. Reska2.00118351T. Molin1.7371111113
P. Chvojka10
LSep 23 · 20:15K. Zeman1.5781113113P. Chvojka2.251161161LSep 23 · 19:15P. Chvojka1.911041381F. Theodor1.80121111113LSep 23 · 17:45V. Reska1.61711611113P. Chvojka2.2011811692LSep 20 · 13:09F. Mandrysz2.1091111123P. Chvojka1.671149101LSep 20 · 11:45P. Chvojka1.5389111142F. Mandrysz2.38111116113WSep 20 · 10:45P. Chvojka1.281111113M. Sobota3.504550WSep 20 · 09:45P. Chvojka1.671111113L. Jr2.106580WSep 19 · 17:04I. Jemelka1.6145111192P. Chvojka2.20111197113WSep 19 · 16:10P. Sturma3.0046100P. Chvojka1.361111123WSep 19 · 15:10P. Chvojka1.91971111113J. Jnr1.8011117852
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