TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13160454
Played Sep 19Finished
Ivan Jemelka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411511119117911
Peter Chvojka
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingIvan Jemelka above · Peter Chvojka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Jemelka 4–5 Peter Chvojka Ivan Jemelka has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Jemelka beat Chvojka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jemelka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvojka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJemelka 1.61 / Chvojka 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Jemelka)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #13160454
Jemelka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 18 of 35
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Chvojka2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 40 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back19% 10 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJemelka4wins
AwayChvojka5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderChvojka leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJemelka75%3 of 4
AwayChvojka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jemelka4Chvojka5n = 9Chvojka took 5 of 9
S2Jemelka3Chvojka6n = 9Chvojka took 6 of 9
S3Jemelka7Chvojka2n = 9Jemelka took 7 of 9
S4Jemelka3Chvojka4n = 7Chvojka took 4 of 7
S5Jemelka1Chvojka2n = 3Chvojka took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricJemelkaChvojkaJ − CBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match38.339.1−0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJemelkaChvojkaBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 123 vs 144 / 31149.6%46.3%61 / 123 vs 144 / 311Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JemelkaJemelka 1.61/Chvojka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.7%
Jemelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 19 · 13:40I. Jemelka351112123P. Chvojka23310100
LSep 3 · 19:10I. Jemelka3321231152P. Chvojka511110118113
WAug 24 · 09:15I. Jemelka54119127153P. Chvojka527111011132
LAug 24 · 06:15I. Jemelka31751181P. Chvojka3811115113
WAug 12 · 09:25I. Jemelka44111111113P. Chvojka37713981
WAug 12 · 08:15I. Jemelka44111111113P. Chvojka29137361
LAug 10 · 12:55I. Jemelka471110115102P. Chvojka51912711123
LAug 10 · 12:15I. Jemelka34781181P. Chvojka3811115113
LJun 18 · 13:45I. Jemelka238960P. Chvojka331111113
I. Jemelka10
WSep 19 · 15:40I. Jemelka1.91111198113J. Jnr1.8059111192LSep 19 · 14:40I. Jemelka1.8012111041P. Sturma1.9114412113WSep 19 · 13:40I. Jemelka1.731112123P. Chvojka2.00310100WSep 15 · 09:13A. Strelec2.63821181I. Jemelka1.4411118113LSep 15 · 07:40I. Jemelka1.7328120A. Strelec2.001111143WSep 15 · 06:40I. Jemelka1.611111113L. Snr2.208680WSep 15 · 05:40I. Jemelka1.531181413113J. Matus2.38811121592WSep 12 · 20:49I. Jemelka2.00591113113J. Jnr1.73111151192LSep 12 · 19:45I. Jemelka1.6721111392P. Sturma2.10118811113WSep 12 · 18:45I. Jemelka2.005121112113J. Jnr1.73111061452
P. Chvojka10
WSep 19 · 16:10P. Sturma3.0046100P. Chvojka1.361111123WSep 19 · 15:10P. Chvojka1.91971111113J. Jnr1.8011117852LSep 19 · 13:40I. Jemelka1.731112123P. Chvojka2.00310100WSep 18 · 17:10P. Chvojka1.6111611133P. Sturma2.046112111WSep 18 · 15:40P. Chvojka2.251111113J. Jnr1.578670WSep 18 · 14:40P. Chvojka1.571111113P. Sturma2.258620WSep 18 · 13:40P. Chvojka1.831111113D. Muller1.836470WSep 14 · 12:34P. Chvojka1.7312124113P. Sturma2.0010101191WSep 14 · 12:10P. Sturma1.679440P. Chvojka2.101111113LSep 14 · 11:10P. Chvojka2.10121111892J. Sindler1.67148911113
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