TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13152490
Played Sep 18Finished
Peter Chvojka
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116117––––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePeter Chvojka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPeter Chvojka above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Peter Chvojka at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Peter Chvojka 2–4 Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr Peter Chvojka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:16What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jnr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Jnr
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chvojka 1367 vs Jnr 1365
Chvojka
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chvojka 80% vs Jnr 60%
Chvojka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chvojka 60% vs Jnr 40%
Chvojka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chvojka +4 · Jnr +1
Chvojka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jnr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chvojka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChvojka 2.25 / Jnr 1.57
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Jnr)-1.0pp
TT Cup · #13152490
Chvojka2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 39 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Jnr1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 42 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it69% 27 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChvojka2wins
AwayJnr4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderJnr leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChvojka66.7%2 of 3
AwayJnr100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chvojka3Jnr3n = 6split evenly
S2Chvojka3Jnr3n = 6split evenly
S3Chvojka3Jnr3n = 6split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricChvojkaJnrC − JBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match33.535.3−1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChvojkaJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 306 vs 138 / 26245.8%52.7%140 / 306 vs 138 / 262Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrChvojka 2.25/Jnr 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chvojka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 12 · 13:45P. Chvojka228680J. Jnr331111113
WAug 31 · 14:10P. Chvojka341211113J. Jnr2410950
WAug 31 · 14:10P. Chvojka341211113J. Jnr2410950
LAug 28 · 14:10P. Chvojka2385100J. Jnr341111123
LAug 27 · 12:43P. Chvojka5111981492J. Jnr505111112113
LAug 27 · 10:40P. Chvojka3711111772J. Jnr47115911113
P. Chvojka10
WSep 18 · 14:40P. Chvojka1.571111113P. Sturma2.258620WSep 18 · 13:40P. Chvojka1.831111113D. Muller1.836470WSep 14 · 12:34P. Chvojka1.7312124113P. Sturma2.0010101191WSep 14 · 12:10P. Sturma1.679440P. Chvojka2.101111113LSep 14 · 11:10P. Chvojka2.10121111892J. Sindler1.67148911113LSep 14 · 09:40L. Jr2.0071114123P. Chvojka1.7311912101WSep 12 · 16:45P. Chvojka1.301114113M. Sobota3.4061290WSep 12 · 16:15M. Sobota2.3822140P. Chvojka1.531111163LSep 12 · 15:15P. Chvojka1.73811991P. Sturma2.0011611113LSep 12 · 13:45J. Jnr1.831111113P. Chvojka1.838680
J. Jnr10
WSep 18 · 15:10D. Muller2.385970J. Jnr1.531111113LSep 18 · 14:10J. Jnr1.9111961192P. Sturma1.80911119113LSep 18 · 13:10J. Jnr1.80111381192P. Sturma1.91315117113WSep 18 · 11:40J. Jnr1.671111113Z. Chovancik2.109870WSep 18 · 10:40J. Jnr1.40121111113L. Snr2.75146561WSep 18 · 09:40J. Jnr2.25111189113P. Sturma1.5779111192LSep 12 · 20:49I. Jemelka2.00591113113J. Jnr1.73111151192LSep 12 · 20:15J. Jnr1.91101171192L. Jr1.80127116113LSep 12 · 18:45I. Jemelka2.005121112113J. Jnr1.73111061452WSep 12 · 13:45J. Jnr1.831111113P. Chvojka1.838680
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