TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Michal Raska vs Daniel Branny 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:02 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Raska above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Daniel Branny at 54.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Michal Raska 15–19 Daniel Branny Michal Raska has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:02What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Branny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Branny
Wrong
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Raska 1457 vs Branny 1517
Branny
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Raska 0% vs Branny 40%
Branny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Raska 20% vs Branny 50%
Branny
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Raska -5 · Branny -1
Raska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Branny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRaska 2.00 / Branny 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Branny)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13188298
Raska2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 67 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Branny1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRaska4wins
AwayBranny6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBranny leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRaska50%3 of 6
AwayBranny75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Raska6Branny4n = 10Raska took 6 of 10
S2Raska5Branny5n = 10split evenly
S3Raska3Branny7n = 10Branny took 7 of 10
S4Raska4Branny5n = 9Branny took 5 of 9
S5Raska2Branny2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRaskaBrannyR − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.940.9−1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRaskaBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 504 vs 181 / 34947.2%51.9%238 / 504 vs 181 / 349Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyRaska 2.00/Branny 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Branny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Raska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 20:40M. Raska35139761D. Branny44111111113
LAug 19 · 18:45M. Raska32115791D. Branny4291111113
WAug 16 · 18:40M. Raska3912311133D. Branny4010118111
LAug 14 · 09:25M. Raska49118811112D. Branny47611116133
LAug 14 · 06:45M. Raska388117121D. Branny4311711143
LAug 12 · 10:45M. Raska4581111872D. Branny45114811113
LJul 31 · 17:45M. Raska36811891D. Branny3711411113
WJul 3 · 20:45M. Raska341112113D. Branny2341090
WJul 3 · 20:15M. Raska42114511113D. Branny4881111992
WJun 21 · 19:40M. Raska49711911113D. Branny4011611572
M. Raska10
LSep 24 · 20:44M. Raska2.00119118142D. Branny1.73911511163LSep 24 · 18:45M. Raska1.9111611992V. Reska1.80611911113LSep 24 · 17:45M. Raska2.0011121191J. Przybyla1.7341413113LSep 23 · 12:43M. Raska2.6311101271T. Krenek1.4491214113LSep 23 · 12:10R. Solle1.7311611153M. Raska2.008116131LSep 23 · 11:10M. Raska2.10711391L. Kantor1.6711811113WSep 23 · 09:40T. Krenek1.441168101M. Raska2.6351111123LSep 22 · 12:39M. Raska2.10119951A. Cizek1.6741111113WSep 22 · 12:10A. Cizek1.7381010M. Raska2.001112113LSep 22 · 11:10M. Raska2.2088130M. Moravec1.611111153
D. Branny10
WSep 24 · 20:44M. Raska2.00119118142D. Branny1.73911511163LSep 24 · 19:15J. Przybyla2.20112119113D. Branny1.6191191192WSep 24 · 18:15D. Branny1.671111113V. Reska2.108940LSep 21 · 20:43P. Vinansky1.8014411113D. Branny1.911211981LSep 21 · 20:15P. Vinansky2.001113133D. Branny1.73711110WSep 21 · 19:15D. Branny2.501111113A. Kanak1.507960LSep 21 · 17:45E. Precek2.00111111113D. Branny1.73513341WSep 18 · 21:08T. Molin1.441181291D. Branny2.6371114113LSep 18 · 19:45D. Branny2.256670T. Molin1.571111113WSep 18 · 18:45D. Branny1.6741111113J. Przybyla2.10117271
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