TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Hybl vs Libor Smazik 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Tomas Hybl
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3119111513711––
Libor Smazik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hybl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Hybl above · Libor Smazik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Hybl at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hybl 0–2 Libor Smazik Tomas Hybl has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Smazik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hybl 1541 vs Smazik 1489
Hybl
Wrong
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hybl 40% vs Smazik 20%
Hybl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hybl 30% vs Smazik 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hybl -2 · Smazik -3
Smazik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hybl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smazik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHybl 1.83 / Smazik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hybl)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13180129
Hybl1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Smazik1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHybl0wins
AwaySmazik2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSmazik leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHyblSmazikH − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match40.047.5−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyblSmazikBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 168 vs 205 / 40850%50.3%84 / 168 vs 205 / 408Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyblHybl 1.83/Smazik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hybl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Smazik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 23 · 10:15T. Hybl34391571L. Smazik46111113113
LJul 13 · 16:00T. Hybl4687111192L. Smazik49111179113
T. Hybl10
LSep 23 · 09:15T. Hybl1.671271591V. Lopata2.10101117113LSep 13 · 16:58D. Brichacek2.0011118113T. Hybl1.73851181WSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113WSep 13 · 14:45T. Hybl1.5091111123J. Snr2.501168101LSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111LSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123LAug 29 · 08:29R. Merkl2.63118117113T. Hybl1.4481171162
L. Smazik10
LSep 23 · 09:45M. Svitac1.91131112113L. Smazik1.801551051LSep 16 · 12:19L. Smazik1.8398110L. Kolman1.831111133LSep 16 · 11:45L. Smazik1.50119791T. Hrstka2.5091111113WSep 16 · 10:15L. Kolman1.731011681L. Smazik2.0012711113LSep 16 · 09:45Z. Vasatko1.831115113L. Smazik1.8341380WSep 14 · 12:53M. Svitac1.83911491L. Smazik1.8311811113LSep 14 · 11:45L. Smazik1.8311351152M. Svitac1.83511119113LSep 14 · 10:15Z. Vasatko2.101111113L. Smazik1.677290LSep 14 · 09:45M. Hajek1.801111113L. Smazik1.918870LSep 12 · 12:38P. Semrad1.73111193L. Smazik2.005580
Upcoming Matches
T. Hybl
Nothing scheduled
L. Smazik
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