TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Hybl vs Vladimir Lopata 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Tomas Hybl
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12107111517911––
Vladimir Lopata
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Hybl to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Hybl above · Vladimir Lopata below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 92 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Hybl at 55.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hybl 2–0 Vladimir Lopata Vladimir Lopata has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hybl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hybl 1566 vs Lopata 1572
Lopata
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hybl 40% vs Lopata 80%
Lopata
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hybl 30% vs Lopata 50%
Lopata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hybl -1 · Lopata -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hybl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lopata form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHybl 1.67 / Lopata 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Hybl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13180000
Hybl1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 10 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 32 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Lopata2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 10 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHybl2wins
AwayLopata0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderHybl leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHyblLopataH − LBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.033.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyblLopataBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 166 vs 145 / 28050.6%51.8%84 / 166 vs 145 / 280Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyblHybl 1.67/Lopata 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Hybl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lopata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 19 · 12:30T. Hybl491061111113V. Lopata4212116762
WDec 13 · 15:45T. Hybl331111113V. Lopata248970
T. Hybl10
LSep 23 · 10:15T. Hybl1.83391571L. Smazik1.83111113113LSep 13 · 16:58D. Brichacek2.0011118113T. Hybl1.73851181WSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113WSep 13 · 14:45T. Hybl1.5091111123J. Snr2.501168101LSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111LSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123LAug 29 · 08:29R. Merkl2.63118117113T. Hybl1.4481171162
V. Lopata10
LSep 21 · 16:48V. Lopata1.5341161172P. Hala2.38117119113WSep 21 · 15:45P. Hala2.20119761V. Lopata1.6191111113WSep 21 · 14:45O. Horak1.671411981V. Lopata2.1016511113WSep 21 · 13:15R. Merkl2.2512119532V. Lopata1.571011111113WSep 19 · 16:24V. Lopata1.831211133L. Stoces1.83107110LSep 19 · 15:45J. Juppa1.803131111113V. Lopata1.9111158772LSep 19 · 14:45L. Stoces2.3811115143V. Lopata1.532811121LSep 19 · 13:15V. Herrmann2.00118511103V. Lopata1.7381111892WSep 17 · 16:54P. Hala2.00118791V. Lopata1.7351111113LSep 17 · 15:45V. Lopata1.6111371172P. Hala2.20611119113
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