TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Vladimir Lopata
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411117611119711
Pavel Hala
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVladimir Lopata above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11
88 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Lopata 14–9 Pavel Hala Pavel Hala has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Lopata beat Hala 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Lopata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLopata 1.53 / Hala 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lopata)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13171913
Lopata1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 27 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Hala2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 36 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLopata7wins
AwayHala3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLopata leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLopata60%3 of 5
AwayHala20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lopata5Hala5n = 10split evenly
S2Lopata6Hala4n = 10Lopata took 6 of 10
S3Lopata6Hala4n = 10Lopata took 6 of 10
S4Lopata6Hala3n = 9Lopata took 6 of 9
S5Lopata3Hala2n = 5Lopata took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLopataHalaL − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.439.1+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLopataHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 279 vs 310 / 61652%50.3%145 / 279 vs 310 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LopataLopata 1.53/Hala 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Lopata · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 15:45V. Lopata4291111113P. Hala33119761
WSep 17 · 16:54V. Lopata3851111113P. Hala35118791
LSep 17 · 15:45V. Lopata3911371172P. Hala48611119113
WSep 11 · 16:00V. Lopata50911118113P. Hala3711551152
WAug 20 · 16:59V. Lopata511011811113P. Hala4712811792
LAug 20 · 16:00V. Lopata31561191P. Hala4111118113
LAug 14 · 16:44V. Lopata4211117942P. Hala49791111113
WAug 14 · 14:15V. Lopata44116511113P. Hala4191111552
WJul 13 · 14:15V. Lopata361411113P. Hala2312650
WApr 26 · 11:30V. Lopata4112711113P. Hala371011881
V. Lopata10
WSep 21 · 15:45P. Hala2.20119761V. Lopata1.6191111113WSep 21 · 14:45O. Horak1.671411981V. Lopata2.1016511113WSep 21 · 13:15R. Merkl2.2512119532V. Lopata1.571011111113WSep 19 · 16:24V. Lopata1.831211133L. Stoces1.83107110LSep 19 · 15:45J. Juppa1.803131111113V. Lopata1.9111158772LSep 19 · 14:45L. Stoces2.3811115143V. Lopata1.532811121LSep 19 · 13:15V. Herrmann2.00118511103V. Lopata1.7381111892WSep 17 · 16:54P. Hala2.00118791V. Lopata1.7351111113LSep 17 · 15:45V. Lopata1.6111371172P. Hala2.20611119113WSep 17 · 14:15P. Provaznik1.738111091V. Lopata2.0011912113
P. Hala10
LSep 21 · 15:45P. Hala2.20119761V. Lopata1.6191111113WSep 21 · 14:15R. Merkl2.10111410452P. Hala1.675121211113WSep 21 · 13:45O. Horak1.91112861P. Hala1.8071111113WSep 20 · 16:29P. Hala1.8011211113L. Provaznik1.91711661LSep 20 · 15:30L. Provaznik1.9131115113P. Hala1.801141361LSep 20 · 15:00P. Hala1.83118811132L. Kolman1.83511117153LSep 20 · 14:00P. Hala2.2011980M. Hajek1.61131193LSep 17 · 16:54P. Hala2.00118791V. Lopata1.7351111113WSep 17 · 15:45V. Lopata1.6111371172P. Hala2.20611119113LSep 17 · 14:45R. Merkl2.20761111153P. Hala1.61111198132
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