TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ondrej Horak
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117211811611––
Pavel Hala
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Horak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Horak above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 67 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ondrej Horak at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Horak 11–17 Pavel Hala Ondrej Horak has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Hala
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horak 1569 vs Hala 1561
Horak
Wrong
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horak 60% vs Hala 20%
Horak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horak 70% vs Hala 30%
Horak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horak +1 · Hala +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.91 / Hala 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Horak)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13166411
Horak1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 27 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back25% 10 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Hala1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 69 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it91% 38 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it64% 58 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorak4wins
AwayHala6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHala66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horak1Hala9n = 10Hala took 9 of 10
S2Horak7Hala3n = 10Horak took 7 of 10
S3Horak8Hala2n = 10Horak took 8 of 10
S4Horak3Hala5n = 8Hala took 5 of 8
S5Horak1Hala3n = 4Hala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorakHalaHorak − HalaBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.239.2−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 192 vs 308 / 61349%50.2%94 / 192 vs 308 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHorak 1.91/Hala 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 17:03O. Horak371511113P. Hala2613760
LSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2339110P. Hala351111133
LJul 14 · 13:45O. Horak30371191P. Hala4211119113
WJul 8 · 14:30O. Horak4291111113P. Hala26113931
LJun 30 · 15:00O. Horak4171111842P. Hala46118511113
LJun 16 · 16:39O. Horak3829111242P. Hala461111310113
WJun 16 · 15:30O. Horak528111111113P. Hala4711681392
LMay 27 · 14:00O. Horak30511771P. Hala4011711113
LMay 20 · 14:30O. Horak3641111822P. Hala48116911113
WMay 7 · 14:00O. Horak4351111163P. Hala361156141
O. Horak10
LSep 21 · 15:15R. Merkl1.531111123O. Horak2.3897100LSep 21 · 14:45O. Horak1.671411981V. Lopata2.1016511113WSep 16 · 16:14O. Horak1.731111113P. Provaznik2.008860LSep 16 · 15:45O. Horak2.00441181J. Juppa1.7311115113WSep 16 · 14:15T. Bertho2.202980O. Horak1.611111113LSep 16 · 13:45P. Provaznik2.00116134123O. Horak1.738111111102WSep 11 · 17:03P. Hala1.6713760O. Horak2.101511113WSep 11 · 15:30A. Pavlik2.00104100O. Horak1.731211123WSep 11 · 15:00O. Horak1.801111113V. Lopata1.917420LSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133
P. Hala10
WSep 21 · 14:15R. Merkl2.10111410452P. Hala1.675121211113WSep 20 · 16:29P. Hala1.8011211113L. Provaznik1.91711661LSep 20 · 15:30L. Provaznik1.9131115113P. Hala1.801141361LSep 20 · 15:00P. Hala1.83118811132L. Kolman1.83511117153LSep 20 · 14:00P. Hala2.2011980M. Hajek1.61131193LSep 17 · 16:54P. Hala2.00118791V. Lopata1.7351111113WSep 17 · 15:45V. Lopata1.6111371172P. Hala2.20611119113LSep 17 · 14:45R. Merkl2.20761111153P. Hala1.61111198132LSep 11 · 17:03P. Hala1.6713760O. Horak2.101511113WSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133
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