TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911711611––
Vladimir Lopata
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVladimir Lopata to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Hala above · Vladimir Lopata below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Vladimir Lopata at 58.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 9–13 Vladimir Lopata Pavel Hala has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Lopata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Lopata
Correct
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hala 1582 vs Lopata 1571
Hala
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hala 60% vs Lopata 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hala 40% vs Lopata 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hala +3 · Lopata +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Lopata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hala form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 2.20 / Lopata 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Lopata)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166482
Hala2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 36 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Lopata1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 27 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala3wins
AwayLopata7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLopata leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHala25%1 of 4
AwayLopata66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala4Lopata6n = 10Lopata took 6 of 10
S2Hala5Lopata5n = 10split evenly
S3Hala5Lopata5n = 10split evenly
S4Hala3Lopata6n = 9Lopata took 6 of 9
S5Hala2Lopata4n = 6Lopata took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaLopataH − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.642.4−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaLopataBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 615 vs 144 / 27850.4%51.8%310 / 615 vs 144 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LopataHala 2.20/Lopata 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Lopata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lopata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 16:54P. Hala35118791V. Lopata3851111113
WSep 17 · 15:45P. Hala48611119113V. Lopata3911371172
LSep 11 · 16:00P. Hala3711551152V. Lopata50911118113
LAug 20 · 16:59P. Hala4712811792V. Lopata511011811113
WAug 20 · 16:00P. Hala4111118113V. Lopata31561191
WAug 14 · 16:44P. Hala49791111113V. Lopata4211117942
LAug 14 · 14:15P. Hala4191111552V. Lopata44116511113
LJul 13 · 14:15P. Hala2312650V. Lopata361411113
LApr 26 · 11:30P. Hala371011881V. Lopata4112711113
LJan 3 · 19:00P. Hala4881211892V. Lopata521110911113
P. Hala10
WSep 21 · 14:15R. Merkl2.10111410452P. Hala1.675121211113WSep 21 · 13:45O. Horak1.91112861P. Hala1.8071111113WSep 20 · 16:29P. Hala1.8011211113L. Provaznik1.91711661LSep 20 · 15:30L. Provaznik1.9131115113P. Hala1.801141361LSep 20 · 15:00P. Hala1.83118811132L. Kolman1.83511117153LSep 20 · 14:00P. Hala2.2011980M. Hajek1.61131193LSep 17 · 16:54P. Hala2.00118791V. Lopata1.7351111113WSep 17 · 15:45V. Lopata1.6111371172P. Hala2.20611119113LSep 17 · 14:45R. Merkl2.20761111153P. Hala1.61111198132LSep 17 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.50111159153P. Hala1.50881111132
V. Lopata10
WSep 21 · 14:45O. Horak1.671411981V. Lopata2.1016511113WSep 21 · 13:15R. Merkl2.2512119532V. Lopata1.571011111113WSep 19 · 16:24V. Lopata1.831211133L. Stoces1.83107110LSep 19 · 15:45J. Juppa1.803131111113V. Lopata1.9111158772LSep 19 · 14:45L. Stoces2.3811115143V. Lopata1.532811121LSep 19 · 13:15V. Herrmann2.00118511103V. Lopata1.7381111892WSep 17 · 16:54P. Hala2.00118791V. Lopata1.7351111113LSep 17 · 15:45V. Lopata1.6111371172P. Hala2.20611119113WSep 17 · 14:15P. Provaznik1.738111091V. Lopata2.0011912113LSep 17 · 13:45R. Merkl2.38111011123V. Lopata1.538128101
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