TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Leos Havrda vs Miroslav Novotny 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Leos Havrda
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191181210––––
Miroslav Novotny
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:54 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Novotny to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLeos Havrda above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 61 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Miroslav Novotny at 59.7%
61 points played in total.
H2H Leos Havrda 0–1 Miroslav Novotny Leos Havrda has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:54What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Novotny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Havrda 1234 vs Novotny 1258
Novotny
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Havrda 40% vs Novotny 60%
Novotny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Havrda 50% vs Novotny 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Havrda -2 · Novotny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novotny) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 2.10 / Novotny 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Havrda)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178718
Havrda2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 45 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Novotny1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 33 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it80% 16 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it66% 25 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHavrda0wins
AwayNovotny1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderNovotny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHavrdaNovotnyH − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.047.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 486 vs 150 / 32545.9%46.2%223 / 486 vs 150 / 325Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnyHavrda 2.10/Novotny 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 20 · 01:00L. Havrda3811115652M. Novotny47951111113
L. Havrda10
LSep 23 · 14:00M. Barta1.6711117113L. Havrda2.10971181LSep 20 · 02:59P. Berdych1.611111123L. Havrda2.2065100WSep 20 · 02:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.206780LSep 20 · 01:00L. Havrda2.2011115652M. Novotny1.61951111113WSep 20 · 24:00P. Berdych1.50613111172L. Havrda2.50111579113LSep 19 · 22:30J. Pelikan1.911111113L. Havrda1.807980WSep 15 · 17:10L. Havrda1.92812611113J. Svec1.78111011962LSep 15 · 16:00V. Stach1.831111113L. Havrda1.839990WSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123WSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141
M. Novotny10
WSep 23 · 14:30M. Novotny1.401111113J. Grohsgott2.758990LSep 20 · 03:30J. Pelikan1.53551113113M. Novotny2.35111151142WSep 20 · 02:30P. Berdych2.00111367112M. Novotny1.738111111133WSep 20 · 01:00L. Havrda2.2011115652M. Novotny1.61951111113LSep 19 · 23:30M. Novotny2.5010630J. Pelikan1.501211113WSep 19 · 22:00M. Novotny1.5011136113J. Grohsgott2.505111161WSep 14 · 21:00P. Bruzek1.5728111172M. Novotny2.25111166113LSep 14 · 20:30M. Novotny2.20981141J. Framberk1.6111117113LSep 14 · 19:00M. Novotny1.61911121182M. Barta2.20116147113LSep 14 · 18:00P. Bruzek1.5781111113M. Novotny2.25115791
Upcoming Matches
L. Havrda
M. Novotny
Nothing scheduled
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