TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129820
Played Sep 15Finished
Vojtech Stach
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Leos Havrda
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Stach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Stach above · Leos Havrda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Vojtech Stach at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Stach 4–3 Leos Havrda Leos Havrda has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Havrda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stach 1108 vs Havrda 1314
Havrda
Wrong
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 40% vs Havrda 80%
Havrda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 50% vs Havrda 70%
Havrda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach +2 · Havrda +4
Havrda
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Havrda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Havrda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 1.83 / Havrda 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Havrda)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129820
Stach1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Havrda1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeStach4wins
AwayHavrda3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderStach leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStach66.7%2 of 3
AwayHavrda50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach3Havrda4n = 7Havrda took 4 of 7
S2Stach3Havrda4n = 7Havrda took 4 of 7
S3Stach3Havrda4n = 7Havrda took 4 of 7
S4Stach2Havrda2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricStachHavrdaS − HBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match32.735.7−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 132 vs 221 / 48850.8%45.3%67 / 132 vs 221 / 488Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaStach 1.83/Havrda 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Havrda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 5 · 11:00V. Stach341111123L. Havrda2028100
LAug 30 · 03:30V. Stach176380L. Havrda331111113
LAug 29 · 22:00V. Stach27113581L. Havrda4071111113
WAug 22 · 03:28V. Stach516121111113L. Havrda4311149722
WAug 22 · 24:30V. Stach41511113113L. Havrda4511871182
WAug 15 · 12:30V. Stach4012116113L. Havrda361091161
LAug 23 · 01:00V. Stach194780L. Havrda331111113
V. Stach10
LSep 15 · 15:30M. Lubas1.44149117113V. Stach2.63121191182WSep 15 · 14:00V. Stach2.751612711113J. Svec1.40181011752WSep 13 · 13:07Z. Kasinski1.851511961V. Stach1.8517611113LSep 13 · 12:00M. Syroha2.201111123V. Stach1.6188100LSep 13 · 11:00Z. Kasinski2.101111113V. Stach1.679970LSep 13 · 10:30V. Stach1.441091271M. Vrabec2.63121110113WSep 11 · 20:58V. Stach1.4411312113J. Martinek2.637111051LSep 11 · 20:00J. Pelikan1.80127114113V. Stach1.91101161112WSep 11 · 19:00J. Martinek2.259111091V. Stach1.5711912113LSep 11 · 18:30V. Stach1.611178111J. Hyrsl2.2051111133
L. Havrda10
WSep 15 · 17:10L. Havrda1.92812611113J. Svec1.78111011962WSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123WSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113
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