TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13136050
Played Sep 15Finished
Leos Havrda
Home
1.92
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111210611119116
Jiri Svec
Away
1.78
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLeos Havrda above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 95 set 5, 11-6
95 points played in total.
H2H Leos Havrda 16–22 Jiri Svec Leos Havrda has won 16 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Havrda beat Svec 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Havrda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svec form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHavrda 1.92 / Svec 1.78
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Havrda)+5.9pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13136050
Havrda1.92
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 42 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Svec1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 40 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHavrda5wins
AwaySvec5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHavrda100%3 of 3
AwaySvec71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Havrda3Svec7n = 10Svec took 7 of 10
S2Havrda6Svec4n = 10Havrda took 6 of 10
S3Havrda5Svec5n = 10split evenly
S4Havrda4Svec3n = 7Havrda took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHavrdaSvecH − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.338.0−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHavrdaSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 489 vs 392 / 84545.2%46.4%221 / 489 vs 392 / 845Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HavrdaHavrda 1.92/Svec 1.78
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Havrda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Havrda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 15:00L. Havrda4111711123J. Svec389118101
LAug 10 · 16:30L. Havrda341091141J. Svec4012116113
LAug 1 · 06:00L. Havrda44411101182J. Svec50119127113
LJul 11 · 13:04L. Havrda229490J. Svec331111113
LJul 11 · 10:00L. Havrda259970J. Svec331111113
WMay 30 · 21:00L. Havrda44101111123J. Svec391289101
LMay 30 · 18:30L. Havrda351111581J. Svec4313811113
WMay 24 · 08:30L. Havrda4171111123J. Svec381198101
WApr 11 · 21:30L. Havrda381116113J. Svec2531480
WApr 11 · 20:30L. Havrda49111179113J. Svec4128111192
L. Havrda10
LSep 15 · 16:00V. Stach1.831111113L. Havrda1.839990WSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123WSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141WSep 5 · 13:00J. Grohsgott1.959530L. Havrda1.751111113WSep 5 · 12:30L. Havrda1.831111113J. Grohsgott1.838750LSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:00M. Syroha1.221211113L. Havrda4.0010860WAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380WAug 30 · 02:30J. Pelikan1.619140L. Havrda2.201111113WAug 30 · 01:00J. Grohsgott1.675860L. Havrda2.101111113
J. Svec10
LSep 15 · 16:30J. Svec2.0011781162M. Lubas1.73911116113LSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123LSep 15 · 14:00V. Stach2.751612711113J. Svec1.40181011752WSep 13 · 09:30M. Barta1.8753131172J. Svec1.831111118113LSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec1.8081170M. Bohac1.911113113WSep 13 · 07:00J. Svec2.75611314113F. Trojan1.40119111252WSep 13 · 06:00M. Barta1.678780J. Svec2.101111113LSep 12 · 17:29J. Svec2.2511770J. Grohsgott1.571311113WSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha1.8391120J. Svec1.831113113WSep 12 · 15:30J. Svec2.2091111113J. Grohsgott1.61117681
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