TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Barta vs Leos Havrda 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Miroslav Barta
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119117711118––
Leos Havrda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Barta above · Leos Havrda below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Barta at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Barta 14–9 Leos Havrda Leos Havrda has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Barta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-9 in 23
Barta
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barta 1316 vs Havrda 1243
Barta
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barta 20% vs Havrda 40%
Havrda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barta 40% vs Havrda 60%
Havrda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barta -1 · Havrda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Barta) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarta 1.67 / Havrda 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Barta)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13178830
Barta1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 73 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it81% 48 of 59
Havrda2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 20)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 45 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarta5wins
AwayHavrda5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarta80%4 of 5
AwayHavrda80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barta5Havrda5n = 10split evenly
S2Barta5Havrda5n = 10split evenly
S3Barta5Havrda5n = 10split evenly
S4Barta1Havrda4n = 5Havrda took 4 of 5
S5Barta2Havrda1n = 3Barta took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartaHavrdaB − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.337.3−3.0per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartaHavrdaBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 514 vs 225 / 48946.5%46%239 / 514 vs 225 / 489Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartaBarta 1.67/Havrda 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Barta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 24 · 14:30M. Barta3911311772L. Havrda47711711113
LJun 11 · 17:00M. Barta2581070L. Havrda341112113
LJun 11 · 16:00M. Barta178360L. Havrda331111113
LJun 3 · 15:30M. Barta2531480L. Havrda381116113
LMay 25 · 15:30M. Barta397141351L. Havrda49111215113
WMay 24 · 07:00M. Barta371111153L. Havrda2685130
WMay 23 · 06:30M. Barta47121176113L. Havrda49108111192
WMay 12 · 16:00M. Barta3851111113L. Havrda31119651
WMar 21 · 11:00M. Barta331111113L. Havrda258890
WMar 14 · 07:30M. Barta43114116113L. Havrda4161151182
M. Barta10
LSep 22 · 21:00M. Barta2.20411931P. Franc1.5811811113WSep 22 · 20:30M. Barta2.751111113J. Framberk1.404850LSep 22 · 19:00M. Barta2.7510311101T. Regner1.4012117123LSep 22 · 18:00P. Franc2.101111113M. Barta1.677640LSep 17 · 21:28J. Strnad1.67111111113M. Barta2.10138751WSep 17 · 20:00J. Strnad1.617146111M. Barta2.20111211133WSep 17 · 19:00J. Grohsgott2.205890M. Barta1.611111113LSep 17 · 18:30M. Barta1.538760J. Svec2.381111113LSep 15 · 17:30L. Sulava1.8581111113M. Barta1.85115861WSep 15 · 16:00T. Nohejl1.61111011892M. Barta2.20112111113
L. Havrda10
WSep 23 · 15:00L. Havrda2.101111123M. Novotny1.6798100LSep 20 · 02:59P. Berdych1.611111123L. Havrda2.2065100WSep 20 · 02:00L. Havrda1.611111113J. Grohsgott2.206780LSep 20 · 01:00L. Havrda2.2011115652M. Novotny1.61951111113WSep 20 · 24:00P. Berdych1.50613111172L. Havrda2.50111579113LSep 19 · 22:30J. Pelikan1.911111113L. Havrda1.807980WSep 15 · 17:10L. Havrda1.92812611113J. Svec1.78111011962LSep 15 · 16:00V. Stach1.831111113L. Havrda1.839990WSep 15 · 15:00J. Svec1.619118101L. Havrda2.2011711123WSep 15 · 14:30L. Havrda2.0011112113M. Lubas1.73981141
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