TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jiri Vanous vs Radomir Benesz 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jiri Vanous
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114117––––
Radomir Benesz
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:12 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Vanous to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Vanous above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jiri Vanous at 54.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Vanous 22–16 Radomir Benesz Radomir Benesz has won 16 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:12What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vanous
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-16 in 38
Vanous
Correct
gap of 6 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vanous 1267 vs Benesz 1293
Benesz
Wrong
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vanous 0% vs Benesz 40%
Benesz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vanous 20% vs Benesz 60%
Benesz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vanous -5 · Benesz -2
Vanous
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vanous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanous 1.73 / Benesz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vanous)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13176707
Vanous1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 27 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Benesz2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 32 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVanous6wins
AwayBenesz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVanous leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVanous83.3%5 of 6
AwayBenesz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vanous6Benesz4n = 10Vanous took 6 of 10
S2Vanous4Benesz6n = 10Benesz took 6 of 10
S3Vanous8Benesz2n = 10Vanous took 8 of 10
S4Vanous4Benesz4n = 8split evenly
S5Vanous2Benesz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanousBeneszV − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.937.1+3.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanousBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 307 vs 82 / 21943.3%37.4%133 / 307 vs 82 / 219Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanousVanous 1.73/Benesz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Vanous · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vanous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 17:40J. Vanous34781181R. Benesz3711114113
WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous44111111113R. Benesz32813561
WJun 18 · 19:10J. Vanous47111339113R. Benesz49711111192
WJun 16 · 19:15J. Vanous331111113R. Benesz147430
LJun 12 · 18:40J. Vanous52138111282R. Benesz551111814113
LJun 3 · 19:10J. Vanous48108111182R. Benesz48121177113
WMay 27 · 18:45J. Vanous3711114113R. Benesz31691151
LMay 17 · 21:25J. Vanous346711101R. Benesz4111117123
WMay 17 · 17:45J. Vanous47771111113R. Benesz4011115672
WMay 11 · 19:15J. Vanous331111113R. Benesz248790
J. Vanous10
LSep 22 · 17:40J. Vanous1.734670P. Jokiel2.001111113LSep 20 · 20:45P. Jokiel2.25611115113J. Vanous1.5711791152LSep 20 · 19:40J. Vanous1.9191111472T. Ogrocki1.80117911113LSep 20 · 18:40J. Vanous1.50115571P. Jokiel2.5031111113LSep 20 · 17:40J. Vanous1.61781181R. Benesz2.2011114113WSep 19 · 20:45O. Skvor1.53111131192J. Vanous2.38135115113LSep 19 · 20:15O. Skvor1.53411711113J. Vanous2.3811711752LSep 19 · 19:15J. Vanous2.0011611862M. Janik1.73911911113LSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman1.531112113J. Vanous2.3861090WSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370
R. Benesz10
LSep 22 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.401111113R. Benesz2.755680LSep 20 · 21:15T. Ogrocki1.441112113R. Benesz2.6321040WSep 20 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8011571132R. Benesz1.91911118113LSep 20 · 19:10R. Benesz2.388590T. Ogrocki1.531111113WSep 20 · 17:40J. Vanous1.61781181R. Benesz2.2011114113LSep 17 · 21:10R. Benesz2.102490T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 17 · 20:10R. Benesz1.8371411113M. Dolezal1.831112251WSep 17 · 18:40P. Jokiel1.61751131R. Benesz2.2011119113WSep 17 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.531131091R. Benesz2.3871112113WSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123
Upcoming Matches
J. Vanous
Nothing scheduled
R. Benesz
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