TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119511711118311
Radomir Benesz
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 87 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Patrik Jokiel at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 7–8 Radomir Benesz Patrik Jokiel has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:14What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jokiel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1301 vs Benesz 1303
Benesz
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 60% vs Benesz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 30% vs Benesz 50%
Benesz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel +1 · Benesz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benesz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 1.80 / Benesz 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benesz)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13164356
Jokiel1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 34 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 20 of 28
Benesz1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 30 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJokiel5wins
AwayBenesz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJokiel60%3 of 5
AwayBenesz60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jokiel5Benesz5n = 10split evenly
S2Jokiel4Benesz6n = 10Benesz took 6 of 10
S3Jokiel7Benesz3n = 10Jokiel took 7 of 10
S4Jokiel3Benesz5n = 8Benesz took 5 of 8
S5Jokiel2Benesz2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJokielBeneszJ − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.839.8−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 451 vs 81 / 21645.7%37.5%206 / 451 vs 81 / 216Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeneszJokiel 1.80/Benesz 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Benesz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Benesz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 18:40P. Jokiel26751131R. Benesz4211119113
WJun 29 · 18:10P. Jokiel331111113R. Benesz199370
LJun 28 · 19:40P. Jokiel187560R. Benesz331111113
WJun 11 · 18:45P. Jokiel48961111113R. Benesz4511116982
LMay 29 · 18:15P. Jokiel331110841R. Benesz4061211113
WMar 17 · 19:45P. Jokiel4691115113R. Benesz391191361
LMar 6 · 22:15P. Jokiel48118118102R. Benesz49811711123
WMar 6 · 19:10P. Jokiel43111011113R. Benesz33512971
LFeb 24 · 18:09P. Jokiel44101113462R. Benesz521271111113
WFeb 24 · 16:40P. Jokiel49111179113R. Benesz4688111182
P. Jokiel10
WSep 20 · 20:45P. Jokiel2.25611115113J. Vanous1.5711791152WSep 20 · 18:40J. Vanous1.50115571P. Jokiel2.5031111113LSep 20 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.53911511113P. Jokiel2.3811511772WSep 20 · 16:44A. Drozd1.83116122112P. Jokiel1.836111011133WSep 20 · 16:10O. Kus1.731159101P. Jokiel2.0061111123LSep 20 · 15:10P. Jokiel2.381011721V. Reska1.5312511113LSep 20 · 13:40A. Drozd1.40514119113P. Jokiel2.75111291132LSep 17 · 20:40M. Dolezal1.8011811113P. Jokiel1.91311431LSep 17 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.107101151T. Ogrocki1.6711127113LSep 17 · 18:40P. Jokiel1.61751131R. Benesz2.2011119113
R. Benesz10
LSep 20 · 21:15T. Ogrocki1.441112113R. Benesz2.6321040LSep 20 · 19:10R. Benesz2.388590T. Ogrocki1.531111113WSep 20 · 17:40J. Vanous1.61781181R. Benesz2.2011114113LSep 17 · 21:10R. Benesz2.102490T. Ogrocki1.671111113WSep 17 · 20:10R. Benesz1.8371411113M. Dolezal1.831112251WSep 17 · 18:40P. Jokiel1.61751131R. Benesz2.2011119113WSep 17 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.531131091R. Benesz2.3871112113WSep 15 · 16:40P. Chlad1.57851111102R. Benesz2.25111166123LSep 15 · 16:10P. Chlad1.6791111113R. Benesz2.10116891LSep 15 · 15:10R. Benesz2.201091351T. Ogrocki1.61121111113
Upcoming Matches
P. Jokiel
R. Benesz
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