Ales Drozd vs Patrik Jokiel 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Sep 20Finished

Ales Drozd

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

11661112102111113

Patrik Jokiel

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

1–9Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingAles Drozd above · Patrik Jokiel below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 2-11

Set 5 · 11-13

Point 93 set 5, 11-13

93 points played in total.

H2H Ales Drozd 10–9 Patrik Jokiel Patrik Jokiel has won 9 of their 19 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Drozd)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jokiel form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDrozd 1.83 / Jokiel 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Drozd)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13165740

Drozd1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

Jokiel1.83

10%won 1 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDrozd5wins

AwayJokiel5wins

7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDrozd66.7%4 of 6

AwayJokiel75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Drozd6Jokiel4n = 10Drozd took 6 of 10

S2Drozd4Jokiel6n = 10Jokiel took 6 of 10

S3Drozd5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly

S4Drozd4Jokiel5n = 9Jokiel took 5 of 9

S5Drozd4Jokiel3n = 7Drozd took 4 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricDrozdJokielD − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.945.5+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDrozdJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 273 vs 204 / 44850.9%45.5%139 / 273 vs 204 / 448Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Drozd

Drozd 1.83/Jokiel 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Drozd · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Jokiel won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 13 · 12:40A. Drozd4691111692P. Jokiel47118611113

WSep 13 · 09:45A. Drozd551711610113P. Jokiel54158111282

LAug 13 · 14:45A. Drozd49871113102P. Jokiel521111711123

WJul 25 · 14:15A. Drozd50118911113P. Jokiel4371111592

LJul 23 · 16:34A. Drozd4111811111P. Jokiel4361113133

WJul 23 · 16:10A. Drozd331111113P. Jokiel248880

WJul 15 · 08:55A. Drozd541014811113P. Jokiel51121211972

LJul 15 · 07:15A. Drozd35119961P. Jokiel4291111113

LJul 6 · 09:45A. Drozd47810111172P. Jokiel50111279113

WJun 15 · 14:45A. Drozd49115129123P. Jokiel497111011102

A. Drozd10

LSep 20 · 15:40A. Drozd2.101011771V. Reska1.6712511113 LSep 20 · 14:40A. Drozd1.6711128592O. Kus2.109101111113 WSep 20 · 13:40A. Drozd1.40514119113P. Jokiel2.75111291132 WSep 19 · 17:15M. Janik2.259780A. Drozd1.571111113 LSep 19 · 15:45A. Drozd1.57119591M. Janik2.2581111113 WSep 19 · 14:45A. Drozd2.101211113O. Skvor1.6710980 WSep 19 · 13:45A. Drozd1.57114116143T. Ogrocki2.25511911122 LSep 14 · 17:14O. Skvor1.831211113A. Drozd1.8310290 LSep 14 · 15:45A. Drozd1.615580O. Skvor2.201111113 WSep 14 · 14:45A. Drozd1.801111113K. Przeczek1.919770

P. Jokiel10

WSep 20 · 16:10O. Kus1.731159101P. Jokiel2.0061111123 LSep 20 · 15:10P. Jokiel2.381011721V. Reska1.5312511113 LSep 20 · 13:40A. Drozd1.40514119113P. Jokiel2.75111291132 LSep 17 · 20:40M. Dolezal1.8011811113P. Jokiel1.91311431 LSep 17 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.107101151T. Ogrocki1.6711127113 LSep 17 · 18:40P. Jokiel1.61751131R. Benesz2.2011119113 LSep 17 · 17:40P. Jokiel1.73381261M. Dolezal2.00111110113 LSep 17 · 08:45J. Matus1.8011811113P. Jokiel1.91411761 LSep 17 · 07:40P. Jokiel2.2581111662P. Chlad1.57118811113 LSep 17 · 06:40P. Jokiel1.838470J. Sindler1.831111113

Upcoming Matches

A. Drozd

Nothing scheduled

P. Jokiel

Sep 20 · 18:10P. Jokiel2.50T. Ogrocki1.50—Sep 20 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.50J. Vanous1.50—Sep 20 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.80R. Benesz1.91—

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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Today's matches are already sealed.