TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Jiri Vanous
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113511511711––
Patrik Jokiel
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:42 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Vanous to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Vanous above · Patrik Jokiel below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 64 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Vanous at 64.1%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Vanous 8–5 Patrik Jokiel Patrik Jokiel has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vanous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Vanous
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vanous 1325 vs Jokiel 1288
Vanous
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vanous 20% vs Jokiel 40%
Jokiel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vanous 30% vs Jokiel 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vanous -1 · Jokiel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vanous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanous 1.50 / Jokiel 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vanous)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13164454
Vanous1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 27 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Jokiel2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 73 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back36% 26 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVanous6wins
AwayJokiel4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVanous leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVanous80%4 of 5
AwayJokiel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vanous5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S2Vanous7Jokiel3n = 10Vanous took 7 of 10
S3Vanous7Jokiel3n = 10Vanous took 7 of 10
S4Vanous4Jokiel3n = 7Vanous took 4 of 7
S5Vanous2Jokiel3n = 5Jokiel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanousJokielV − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.338.0+3.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanousJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 303 vs 205 / 45043.9%45.6%133 / 303 vs 205 / 450Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanousVanous 1.50/Jokiel 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Vanous · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jokiel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous331111113P. Jokiel177370
WSep 16 · 20:10J. Vanous341211113P. Jokiel2010370
WAug 5 · 19:10J. Vanous331111113P. Jokiel217950
WMay 22 · 19:15J. Vanous549101311113P. Jokiel48111211682
LMar 17 · 18:45J. Vanous511211117102P. Jokiel55149911123
LMar 6 · 20:10J. Vanous281011161P. Jokiel4312119113
WMar 2 · 18:45J. Vanous49711911113P. Jokiel4711911882
LFeb 8 · 15:15J. Vanous4789111182P. Jokiel49111197113
LFeb 3 · 21:15J. Vanous4211118842P. Jokiel47951111113
WJan 2 · 21:50J. Vanous4211119113P. Jokiel33871171
J. Vanous10
LSep 20 · 17:40J. Vanous1.61781181R. Benesz2.2011114113WSep 19 · 20:45O. Skvor1.53111131192J. Vanous2.38135115113LSep 19 · 20:15O. Skvor1.53411711113J. Vanous2.3811711752LSep 19 · 19:15J. Vanous2.0011611862M. Janik1.73911911113LSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman1.531112113J. Vanous2.3861090WSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370WSep 16 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8010370J. Vanous1.911211113LSep 16 · 19:10J. Vanous1.8064110O. Kus1.911111133LSep 16 · 17:40K. Zeman1.5312711133J. Vanous2.3810116111LSep 10 · 20:44J. Vanous1.80851191T. Ogrocki1.9111115113
P. Jokiel10
LSep 20 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.53911511113P. Jokiel2.3811511772WSep 20 · 16:44A. Drozd1.83116122112P. Jokiel1.836111011133WSep 20 · 16:10O. Kus1.731159101P. Jokiel2.0061111123LSep 20 · 15:10P. Jokiel2.381011721V. Reska1.5312511113LSep 20 · 13:40A. Drozd1.40514119113P. Jokiel2.75111291132LSep 17 · 20:40M. Dolezal1.8011811113P. Jokiel1.91311431LSep 17 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.107101151T. Ogrocki1.6711127113LSep 17 · 18:40P. Jokiel1.61751131R. Benesz2.2011119113LSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370LSep 16 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8010370J. Vanous1.911211113
Upcoming Matches
J. Vanous
Nothing scheduled
P. Jokiel
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.