TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jiri Vanous vs Patrik Jokiel 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jiri Vanous
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611711––––
Patrik Jokiel
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Vanous to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Vanous above · Patrik Jokiel below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jiri Vanous at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Vanous 8–7 Patrik Jokiel Patrik Jokiel has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vanous
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vanous 1292 vs Jokiel 1267
Vanous
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vanous 20% vs Jokiel 40%
Jokiel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vanous 30% vs Jokiel 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vanous -4 · Jokiel -2
Vanous
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vanous)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vanous form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVanous 1.73 / Jokiel 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vanous)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13176739
Vanous1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 27 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Jokiel2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 21)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 73 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back37% 28 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVanous5wins
AwayJokiel5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVanous60%3 of 5
AwayJokiel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vanous5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S2Vanous5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S3Vanous7Jokiel3n = 10Vanous took 7 of 10
S4Vanous4Jokiel3n = 7Vanous took 4 of 7
S5Vanous2Jokiel3n = 5Jokiel took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVanousJokielV − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.038.0+2.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanousJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 306 vs 209 / 45943.5%45.5%133 / 306 vs 209 / 459Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanousVanous 1.73/Jokiel 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vanous · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jokiel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 20:45J. Vanous4311791152P. Jokiel44611115113
LSep 20 · 18:40J. Vanous28115571P. Jokiel3631111113
WSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous331111113P. Jokiel177370
WSep 16 · 20:10J. Vanous341211113P. Jokiel2010370
WAug 5 · 19:10J. Vanous331111113P. Jokiel217950
WMay 22 · 19:15J. Vanous549101311113P. Jokiel48111211682
LMar 17 · 18:45J. Vanous511211117102P. Jokiel55149911123
LMar 6 · 20:10J. Vanous281011161P. Jokiel4312119113
WMar 2 · 18:45J. Vanous49711911113P. Jokiel4711911882
LFeb 8 · 15:15J. Vanous4789111182P. Jokiel49111197113
J. Vanous10
LSep 20 · 20:45P. Jokiel2.25611115113J. Vanous1.5711791152LSep 20 · 19:40J. Vanous1.9191111472T. Ogrocki1.80117911113LSep 20 · 18:40J. Vanous1.50115571P. Jokiel2.5031111113LSep 20 · 17:40J. Vanous1.61781181R. Benesz2.2011114113WSep 19 · 20:45O. Skvor1.53111131192J. Vanous2.38135115113LSep 19 · 20:15O. Skvor1.53411711113J. Vanous2.3811711752LSep 19 · 19:15J. Vanous2.0011611862M. Janik1.73911911113LSep 19 · 17:45K. Zeman1.531112113J. Vanous2.3861090WSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370WSep 16 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8010370J. Vanous1.911211113
P. Jokiel10
LSep 21 · 12:40P. Jokiel1.24129118112M. Klimenta3.801011911133LSep 21 · 12:38P. Jokiel1.25129118112M. Kliment3.751011911133WSep 21 · 12:10M. Kliment3.40391161P. Jokiel1.3011117113WSep 21 · 12:10M. Klimenta4.20391161P. Jokiel1.2011117113LSep 21 · 11:10P. Jokiel2.1011115882A. Drozd1.67961111113LSep 21 · 09:40O. Skvor1.578121111113P. Jokiel2.2511146392WSep 20 · 20:45P. Jokiel2.25611115113J. Vanous1.5711791152WSep 20 · 18:40J. Vanous1.50115571P. Jokiel2.5031111113LSep 16 · 20:34J. Vanous1.801111113P. Jokiel1.917370LSep 16 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8010370J. Vanous1.911211113
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