TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12109111198111113
Miroslav Kliment
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Miroslav Kliment below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 105 set 5, 11-13
105 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 2–0 Miroslav Kliment Miroslav Kliment has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Jokiel beat Kliment 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Jokiel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jokiel form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 1.25 / Kliment 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Jokiel)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13169657
Jokiel1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 34 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Kliment3.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJokiel2wins
AwayKliment0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJokiel leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJokielKlimentJ − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.538.5+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielKlimentBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 457 vs 2 / 1045.7%20%209 / 457 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokielJokiel 1.25/Kliment 3.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Jokiel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kliment won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 21 · 12:10P. Jokiel4011117113M. Kliment29391161
WAug 20 · 12:44P. Jokiel551071116113M. Kliment48121161452
P. Jokiel10
LSep 21 · 12:40P. Jokiel1.24129118112M. Klimenta3.801011911133WSep 21 · 12:10M. Kliment3.40391161P. Jokiel1.3011117113WSep 21 · 12:10M. Klimenta4.20391161P. Jokiel1.2011117113LSep 21 · 11:10P. Jokiel2.1011115882A. Drozd1.67961111113LSep 21 · 09:40O. Skvor1.578121111113P. Jokiel2.2511146392WSep 20 · 20:45P. Jokiel2.25611115113J. Vanous1.5711791152LSep 20 · 20:10P. Jokiel1.8011571132R. Benesz1.91911118113WSep 20 · 18:40J. Vanous1.50115571P. Jokiel2.5031111113LSep 20 · 18:10T. Ogrocki1.53911511113P. Jokiel2.3811511772WSep 20 · 16:44A. Drozd1.83116122112P. Jokiel1.836111011133
M. Kliment10
LSep 21 · 12:10M. Kliment3.40391161P. Jokiel1.3011117113LSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.53911711113M. Kliment2.3811711882LSep 21 · 10:10A. Drozd1.6171111113M. Kliment2.20113771LAug 20 · 17:20M. Kliment3.251115961V. Reska1.3361711113WAug 20 · 16:14M. Kliment2.001111173K. Przeczek1.7368150WAug 20 · 14:44K. Baros1.256480M. Kliment3.751111113LAug 20 · 14:13V. Reska1.3611211113M. Kliment3.00611561LAug 20 · 12:44P. Jokiel1.441071116113M. Kliment2.63121161452LAug 20 · 11:45M. Kliment3.25134871L. Lasota1.33111111113LAug 20 · 10:43M. Kliment2.7591111992J. Volny1.40119411113
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