TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ales Drozd
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711113117117––
Miroslav Kliment
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–5Last 7Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Drozd to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Drozd above · Miroslav Kliment below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Ales Drozd at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Drozd
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Drozd 1428 vs Kliment 1389
Drozd
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Drozd 40% vs Kliment 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Drozd 40% vs Kliment 29%
—
Too close
11pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Drozd -3 · Kliment -1
Drozd
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Drozd) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Drozd form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrozd 1.61 / Kliment 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Drozd)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13166543
Drozd1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 46 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it70% 37 of 53
Kliment2.20
29%won 2 of 7 · last 10
Last match: 32 days ago (Aug 20) · back after a break
oldest → newest
71%takes the first set · 5 of 7
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrozdKlimentBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 274 vs 2 / 750.7%28.6%139 / 274 vs 2 / 7Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrozdDrozd 1.61/Kliment 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Drozd · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Drozd won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Drozd10
WSep 21 · 11:10P. Jokiel2.1011115882A. Drozd1.67961111113WSep 21 · 10:10A. Drozd1.6271111113M. Klimenta2.15113771LSep 20 · 16:44A. Drozd1.83116122112P. Jokiel1.836111011133LSep 20 · 15:40A. Drozd2.101011771V. Reska1.6712511113LSep 20 · 14:40A. Drozd1.6711128592O. Kus2.109101111113WSep 20 · 13:40A. Drozd1.40514119113P. Jokiel2.75111291132WSep 19 · 17:15M. Janik2.259780A. Drozd1.571111113LSep 19 · 15:45A. Drozd1.57119591M. Janik2.2581111113WSep 19 · 14:45A. Drozd2.101211113O. Skvor1.6710980WSep 19 · 13:45A. Drozd1.57114116143T. Ogrocki2.25511911122
M. Kliment8
LSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.53911711113M. Kliment2.3811711882LAug 20 · 17:20M. Kliment3.251115961V. Reska1.3361711113WAug 20 · 16:14M. Kliment2.001111173K. Przeczek1.7368150WAug 20 · 14:44K. Baros1.256480M. Kliment3.751111113LAug 20 · 14:13V. Reska1.3611211113M. Kliment3.00611561LAug 20 · 12:44P. Jokiel1.441071116113M. Kliment2.63121161452LAug 20 · 11:45M. Kliment3.25134871L. Lasota1.33111111113LAug 20 · 10:43M. Kliment2.7591111992J. Volny1.40119411113
Upcoming Matches
A. Drozd
Nothing scheduled
M. Kliment
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